State of the Ecosystem 2025 Overview Mid-Atlantic and New England

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.title[
# State of the Ecosystem 2025 Overview Mid-Atlantic and New England
]
.subtitle[
## NOAA Seminar 28 May 2025
]
.author[
### Brandon Beltz, SOE data analyst, NEFSC
]

---

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# State of the Ecosystem (SOE) reporting
## Improving ecosystem information and synthesis for fishery managers

.pull-left[

- Ecosystem indicators linked to management objectives <a name=cite-depiper_operationalizing_2017></a>([DePiper et al., 2017](https://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article/74/8/2076/3094701))
 + Contextual information
 + Report evolving since 2016
 + Fishery-relevant subset of full Ecosystem Status Reports

- Open science emphasis <a name=cite-bastille_improving_2020></a>([Bastille et al., 2020](https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155))

- Used within Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management Council's Ecosystem Process <a name=cite-muffley_there_2020></a>([Muffley et al., 2020](https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156))
 
]

.pull-right[
*The IEA Loop1*
![IEA process from goal setting to assessment to strategy evaluation with feedbacks](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//iea-loop.png)

.footnote[
[1] https://www.integratedecosystemassessment.noaa.gov/national/IEA-approach
]
]
???

---
## State of the Ecosystem: Maintain 2024 structure for 2025
.pull-left[

## 2025 Report Structure
1. Graphical summary
    + Page 1 report card re: objectives &rarr;
    + Page 2 risk summary bullets
    + Page 3 2024 snapshot
1. Performance relative to management objectives
1. Risks to meeting management objectives
    + Climate and Ecosystem risks
    + Offshore wind development
1. 2024 Highlights
    
]

.pull-right[

![:img State of the Ecosystem page 1 summary table, 32%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/SOE-MA-02282025-508-performance.png)![:img State of the Ecosystem page 2 risk bullets, 32%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/SOE-MA-02282025-508-risks.png)![:img State of the Ecosystem page 3 highlights, 32%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/SOE-MA-02282025-508-highlights.png)

]

---
## Updated Objectives and Risks tables aligning with indicators

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<div class="tabwid"><style>.cl-3da4cda8{}.cl-3d9d3fc0{font-family:'Arial';font-size:11pt;font-weight:normal;font-style:normal;text-decoration:none;color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);background-color:transparent;}.cl-3d9d4010{font-family:'Arial';font-size:11pt;font-weight:bold;font-style:normal;text-decoration:none;color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);background-color:transparent;}.cl-3d9fedba{margin:0;text-align:left;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);padding-bottom:5pt;padding-top:5pt;padding-left:5pt;padding-right:5pt;line-height: 1;background-color:transparent;}.cl-3da00584{width:2.094in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-3da0058e{width:4.939in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-3da0058f{width:2.094in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-3da00590{width:4.939in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-3da00598{width:2.094in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-3da00599{width:4.939in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-3da0059a{width:2.094in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-3da0059b{width:4.939in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-3da005a2{width:2.094in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-3da005a3{width:4.939in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}</style><table data-quarto-disable-processing='true' class='cl-3da4cda8'><caption style="display:table-caption;margin:0pt;text-align:center;border-bottom: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-top: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-left: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-right: 0.00pt solid transparent;padding-top:3pt;padding-bottom:3pt;padding-left:3pt;padding-right:3pt;line-height: 1;background-color:transparent;">Ecosystem-scale fishery management objectives in the Mid-Atlantic Bight</caption><thead><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><th class="cl-3da00584">Objective categories</th><th class="cl-3da0058e">Indicators reported</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="2"class="cl-3da0058f">Objectives: Provisioning and Cultural Services</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-3da0058f">Seafood Production</td><td class="cl-3da00590">Landings; commercial total and by feeding guild; recreational harvest</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-3da00598">Commercial Profits</td><td class="cl-3da00599">Revenue decomposed to price and volume</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-3da0058f">Recreational Opportunities</td><td class="cl-3da00590">Angler trips; recreational fleet diversity</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-3da0058f">Stability</td><td class="cl-3da00590">Diversity indices (fishery and ecosystem)</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-3da0058f">Social &amp; Cultural</td><td class="cl-3da00590">Community fishing engagement and social vulnerability status</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-3da0058f">Protected Species</td><td class="cl-3da00590">Bycatch; population (adult and juvenile) numbers; mortalities</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="2"class="cl-3da0058f">Potential Drivers: Supporting and Regulating Services</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-3da0059a">Management</td><td class="cl-3da0059b">Stock status; catch compared with catch limits</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-3da0058f">Biomass</td><td class="cl-3da00590">Biomass or abundance by feeding guild from surveys</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-3da005a2">Environment</td><td class="cl-3da005a3">Climate and ecosystem risk indicators listed in Table 2</td></tr></tbody></table></div>
]

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<div class="tabwid"><style>.cl-3dbd1d5e{}.cl-3db67e54{font-family:'Arial';font-size:11pt;font-weight:normal;font-style:normal;text-decoration:none;color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);background-color:transparent;}.cl-3db67e5e{font-family:'Arial';font-size:11pt;font-weight:bold;font-style:normal;text-decoration:none;color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);background-color:transparent;}.cl-3db8edc4{margin:0;text-align:left;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);padding-bottom:5pt;padding-top:5pt;padding-left:5pt;padding-right:5pt;line-height: 1;background-color:transparent;}.cl-3db90066{width:0.99in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 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1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-3db900fe{width:2.204in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-3db900ff{width:2.806in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-3db90106{width:0.99in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-3db90107{width:2.204in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-3db90108{width:2.806in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}</style><table data-quarto-disable-processing='true' class='cl-3dbd1d5e'><caption style="display:table-caption;margin:0pt;text-align:center;border-bottom: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-top: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-left: 0.00pt solid transparent;border-right: 0.00pt solid transparent;padding-top:3pt;padding-bottom:3pt;padding-left:3pt;padding-right:3pt;line-height: 1;background-color:transparent;">Risks to meeting fishery management objectives in the Mid-Atlantic Bight</caption><thead><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><th class="cl-3db90066">Risk categories</th><th class="cl-3db90067">Observation indicators reported</th><th class="cl-3db90070">Potential driver indicators reported</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="3"class="cl-3db90071">Climate and Ecosystem Risks</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-3db90071">Risks to Managing Spatially</td><td class="cl-3db900f2">Managed species (fish and cetacean) distribution shifts</td><td class="cl-3db900fc">Benthic and pelagic forage distribution; ocean temperature, changes in currents and cold pool</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-3db90071">Risks to Managing Seasonally</td><td class="cl-3db900f2">Managed species spawning and migration timing changes</td><td class="cl-3db900fc">Habitat timing: Length of ocean summer, cold pool seasonal persistence</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-3db90071">Risks to Setting Catch Limits</td><td class="cl-3db900f2">Managed species body condition and recruitment changes</td><td class="cl-3db900fc">Benthic and pelagic forage quality &amp; abundance: ocean temperature &amp; acidification </td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td colspan="3"class="cl-3db900fd">Other Ocean Uses Risks</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-3db90106">Offshore Wind Risks</td><td class="cl-3db90107">Fishery revenue and landings from wind lease areas by species and port</td><td class="cl-3db90108">Wind development speed; Protected species presence and hotspots</td></tr></tbody></table></div>

]

---
## Ecosystem synthesis themes

Characterizing ecosystem change for fishery management

* Societal, biological, physical and chemical factors comprise the **multiple system drivers** that influence marine ecosystems through a variety of different pathways. 
* Changes in the multiple drivers can lead to **regime shifts** — large, abrupt and persistent changes in the structure and function of an ecosystem.  
* Regime shifts and changes in how the multiple system drivers interact can result in **ecosystem reorganization** as species and humans respond and adapt to the new environment.

.pull-left[

![:img](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//SystemDrivers_v5.jpg)
]

.pull-right[
![:img](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//RegimeShift_V5.jpg)
]

---
## State of the Ecosystem report scale and figures

.pull-left[
Spatial scale
![:img NEFSC survey strata used to calculate Ecosystem Production Unit biomass, 80%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//EPU_Designations_Map.jpg)

A [glossary of terms](https://noaa-edab.github.io/tech-doc/glossary.html) (2021 Memo 5), detailed [technical methods documentation](https://NOAA-EDAB.github.io/tech-doc) and [indicator data](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/ecodata) are available online.  
]

.pull-right[
Key to figures
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-2-1.png" width="396" />

.contrib[
Trends assessed only for 30+ years: [more information](https://noaa-edab.github.io/tech-doc/trend-analysis.html)

Orange line = significant increase
Purple line = significant decrease
No color line = not significant or < 30 years
Grey background = last 10 years
]
]

---
# 2025 Changes: Trend assessment

.pull-left[
## Recent short term trends assessed

Andy Beet's [`arfit` R package](https://noaa-edab.github.io/arfit/articles/background_work.html) integrated into `ecodata`

Apply to most recent 10 years of each dataset

Apply to full datasets <30 years

## No more polynomial long term trends assessed

Decision based on how strange some of them looked

Has implications for risk assessment scoring
]

.pull-right[
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-3-1.png" width="504" />

]

???

Tests for significant trend, null hypothesis is mean with autocorrelation (no trend)

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background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/SOE-MA-02282025-508-performance.png")
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## Mid Atlantic State of the Ecosystem Summary 2025: 
**Performance relative to management objectives**

.pull-left-60[
Seafood production ![:img decreasing arrow icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//decrease.png), ![:img below average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//below long term ave.png)

Profits ![:img no trend icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//no trend.png), ![:img below average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//below long term ave.png)

Recreational opportunities:  Effort ![:img increasing arrow icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//increase.png) ![:img above average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//above long term ave.png); Effort diversity ![:img decreasing arrow icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//decrease.png) ![:img below average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//below long term ave.png)

Stability: Fishery not stable; Ecological not stable

Social and cultural:  
*  Fishing engagement and social vulnerability status by community
*  Revenue climate vulnerability ![:img no trend icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//no trend.png), majority high risk

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## New England State of the Ecosystem Summary 2025: 
**Performance relative to management objectives - Georges Bank**

.pull-left-60[
Seafood production Total ![:img no trend icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//no trend.png), Managed ![:img decreasing arrow icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//decrease.png), Both ![:img below average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//below long term ave.png)

Recreational opportunities:  Effort ![:img no trend icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//no trend.png), ![:img near average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//near-long-term-average.png); Effort diversity ![:img no trend icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//no trend.png), ![:img near average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//near-long-term-average.png)

Stability: Fishery not stable; Ecological not stable

Social and cultural:  
*  Fishing engagement and social vulnerability status by community
*  Revenue climate vulnerability ![:img mixed trend icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//Mixed trends.png), majority medium risk

Protected species: 
*  Maintain bycatch below thresholds (harbor porpoise, gray seals) ![:img mixed trend icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//Mixed trends.png) ![:img meeting objectives icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//checked.png)  
*  Recover endangered populations ![:img mixed trend icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//Mixed trends.png), NARW ![:img below average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//below long term ave.png) Gray seal ![:img above average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//above long term ave.png)  
]
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---
background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/SOE-NE-02282025-508-performance-GOM.png")
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## New England State of the Ecosystem Summary 2025: 
**Performance relative to management objectives - Gulf of Maine**

Profits Total ![:img no trend icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//no trend.png), ![:img near average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//near-long-term-average.png); NEFMC Managed ![:img decreasing arrow icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//decrease.png), ![:img below average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//below long term ave.png)

Stability: Fishery not stable; Ecological not stable

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background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/SOE-MA-02282025-508-risks.png")
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## State of the Ecosystem Summary 2025: 
**Risks to meeting fishery management objectives**

.pull-left-60[
Climate: risks to managing spatially, managing seasonally, and catch specification
*  Fish and protected species distribution shifts
*  Changing spawning and migration timing
*  Multiple stocks with poor condition, declining productivity

Other ocean uses: offshore wind development
*  Current revenue in proposed areas
    - 1-46% by Mid-Atlantic port
    - 2-16% by MAFMC managed species
*  Overlap with important right whale foraging habitats, increased vessel strike and noise risks
]
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---
background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/SOE-MA-02282025-508-highlights.png")
background-size: 500px
background-position: right

## State of the Ecosystem Summary 2025: **2024 Highlights**

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Notable 2024 events and conditions

*  2024 warmest year on record globally. Again.

*  BUT
*  Cooler conditions across the coast
*  Well established Mid Atlantic Cold Pool
*  Multiple summer upwelling events off NJ 
*  Extreme ocean acidification measured off NJ
*  Many fishery observations of different spatial and timing patterns, changed abundance 
*  Good scallop recruitment in Nantucket lightship
*  More red drum in Chesapeake Bay
*  Arctic copepods in GOM
*  Cocolithophore bloom off NY
*  Large whale aggregations

We welcome your observations! <northeast.ecosystem.highlights@noaa.gov>

]

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]

---
# 2025 Performance relative to management objectives

.center[
![:img Fishing icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//5_FISHING.png) &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; ![:img Fishing industry icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//6_INDUSTRY.png) &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; ![:img Multiple drivers icon made by EDAB, 25%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//18.MULTIPLE_SYSTEM_DRIVERS.png) &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; ![:img Spiritual cultural icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//22.SPIRITUAL_CULTURAL.png) &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; ![:img Protected species icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//16.PROTECTEDSPECIES.png)
]

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## Objective: Mid Atlantic Seafood production ![:img decreasing arrow icon, 2%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//decrease.png) ![:img below average icon icon, 2%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/below long term ave.png) &emsp; Risk elements: ComFood and RecFood, unchanged

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Indicators: Commercial landings, climate risk

.right[
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/climatevul-land-1.png" alt="Mid-Atlantic region total climate vulnerability of commercial landings (sum of Mid-Atlantic port landings weighted by species climate vulnerability from Hare et al. 2016)." width="432" />
]

]

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Indicators: Recreational harvest
 
 
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-6-1.png" width="504" />

.table[
Multiple potential drivers: ecosystem and stock production, management, market conditions, and environmental change.
]
]

???
The long-term declining trend in landings didn't change.
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## Mid Atlantic Landings drivers: Stock status? TAC? &emsp; Risk elements: Fstatus, Bstatus, MgtControl

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Indicator: Stock status

]

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Indicators: Total ABC or ACL, and Realized catch relative to management target

.contrib[
Few managed species have binding limits; Management less likely playing a role
]
]

???
Stock status affects catch limits established by the Council, which in turn may affect landings trends. Summed across all MAFMC managed species, total Acceptable Biological Catch or Annual Catch Limits (ABC or ACL) have been relatively stable 2012-2020 (top). With the addition of blueline tilefish management in 2017, an additional ABC and ACL contribute to the total 2017-2020. Discounting blueline tilefish, the recent total ABC or ACL is lower relative to 2012-2013, with much of that decrease due to declining Atlantic mackerel ABC.

Nevertheless, the percentage caught for each stock’s ABC/ACL suggests that these catch limits are not generally constraining as most species are well below the 1/1 ratio (bottom). Therefore, stock status and associated management constraints are unlikely to be driving decreased landings for the majority of species.

---
## Implications: Mid Atlantic Seafood Production Drivers
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Biomass does not appear to drive landings trends

.contrib[
Key: Black = NEFSC survey; Red = NEAMAP survey
]

]

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.contrib[ 
* Declining aggregate planktivores, benthos?
.center[
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-12-1.png" width="288" />
]

* Recreational drivers differ: shark fishery management, possibly survey methodology

Monitor: 
* climate risks including warming, ocean acidification, and shifting distributions  
* ecosystem composition and production changes  
* fishing engagement  
]
]

???
Because stock status is mostly acceptable, ABCs don't appear to be constraining for many stocks, and aggregate biomass trends appear stable, the decline in commercial landings is most likely driven by market dynamics affecting the landings of surfclams and ocean quahogs, as quotas are not binding for these species.

Climate change also seems to be shifting the distribution of surfclams and ocean quahogs, resulting in areas with overlapping distributions and increased mixed landings. Given the regulations governing mixed landings, this could become problematic in the future and is currently being evaluated by the Council.

---
## Objective: New England Seafood production ![:img decreasing arrow icon, 2%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/decrease.png)/![:img below average icon icon, 2%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/no trend.png)  ![:img below average icon icon, 2%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/below long term ave.png)

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Indicators: Commercial landings

]

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Indicators: Recreational harvest

]

Multiple drivers: ecosystem and stock production, management actions (stock rebuilding), market conditions (including COVID-19 disruptions), and environmental change

???
Although scallop decreases are partially explained by a decreased TAC, analyses suggest that the drop in landings is at least partially due to market disruptions due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
However, we do not anticipate the long-term declining trend in landings to change.

---
## New England Landings drivers: Stock status? Survey biomass?

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Indicator: Stock status

<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-16-1.png" width="540" />
.contrib[
One more stock below BMSY from last year (S Silver Hake). No change in stocsk below 1/2 BMSY. Stock status and required management actions still likely playing large role in seafood declines.
]

]

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Indicator: Survey biomass
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-17-1.png" width="576" />
.contrib[
Biomass availability still seems unlikely driver
]

]

---
## Implications: New England Seafood Production
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Drivers:
* Decline in commercial landings is most likely driven by actions to rebuild individual stocks (lower quotas) as well as market dynamics
* other drivers affecting recreational landings: tighter shark fishery regulations, changing demographics and preferences of anglers

Monitor: 
* Climate risks including warming, ocean acidification, and shifting distributions  
* Ecosystem composition and production changes  
* Fishing engagement

]

.pull-right[

]

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## Objective: Mid Atlantic Commercial Profits ![:img no trend icon, 2%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//no trend.png) ![:img below average icon icon, 2%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/below long term ave.png) &emsp; Risk element: CommRev, unchanged

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Indicator: Commercial Revenue; profit indicators under SSC review

.right[
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/climatevul-rev-1.png" alt="Mid-Atlantic region total climate vulnerability of commercial revenue (sum of Mid-Atlantic port revenue weighted by species climate vulnerability from Hare et al. 2016)." width="432" />
]

Recent change driven by benthos 
Monitor changes in climate and landings drivers: 
- Climate risk element: Surfclams and ocean quahogs are sensitive to ocean warming and acidification. 
- pH in surfclam summer habitat is approaching, but not yet at, pH affecting surfclam growth
]

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Indicator: Bennet--price and volume indices
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/bennet-1.png" width="446.4" />

<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/bennet-all-1.png" width="432" />
]

???
Recent change driven by benthos 
Monitor changes in climate and landings drivers: 
- Climate risk element: Surfclams and ocean quahogs are sensitive to ocean warming and acidification. 
- pH in surfclam summer habitat is approaching, but not yet at, pH affecting surfclam growth

---
## Objective: Mid Atlantic Recreational opportunities ![:img increasing arrow icon, 2%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//increase.png) ![:img above average icon icon, 2%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//above long term ave.png); ![:img decreasing arrow icon, 2%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//decrease.png) ![:img below average icon icon, 2%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//below long term ave.png) Risk elements: RecValue, RecDiv

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Indicators: Recreational effort and fleet diversity 
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-21-1.png" width="504" />

<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-22-1.png" width="504" />
]

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Implications

* Adding 2023 data, recreational effort (angler trips) retains the long term increase.

* The increasing long term trend changed the risk category for the RecValue element back to low-moderate (previously ranked low risk).

* *New risk element*: Decline in recreational fleet diversity suggests a potentially reduced range of opportunities.

* Driven by party/charter contraction and a shift toward shore based angling.

]

???
Changes in recreational fleet diversity can be considered when managers seek options to maintain recreational opportunities. Shore anglers will have access to different species than vessel-based anglers, and when the same species, typically smaller fish. Many states have developed shore-based regulations where the minimum size is lower than in other areas and sectors to maintain opportunities in the shore angling sector.

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## Objective: Mid Atlantic Fishery Stability: Not Stable &emsp; Risk elements: FleetDiv and FishRes1

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*Fishery*  Indicators: Commercial fleet count, fleet diversity

]

.pull-right[
*Fishery* Indicators: commercial species revenue diversity, recreational species catch diversity
 
 
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-24-1.png" width="504" />

]

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## Objective: Mid Atlantic Ecological Stability: Not Stable

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*Ecological* Indicators: PP and zooplankton

]

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*Ecological* Indicators: fish richness and traits

]
???
While larval and adult fish diversity indices are stable, a few warm-southern larval species are becoming more dominant. Increasing zooplankton diversity is driven by declining dominance of an important species, which warrants continued monitoring.

---
## New England Community Social and Climate Vulnerability

Indicators: Commercial fishery engagement, social vulnerability, revenue climate vulnerability

.pull-left[
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-28-1.png" width="360" />

]

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1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-768578b7{width:0.631in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-768578c0{width:0.6in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-768578ca{width:1.255in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-768578cb{width:1.459in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-768578cc{width:0.662in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}</style><table data-quarto-disable-processing='true' class='cl-768aac00'><thead><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><th class="cl-76857802">Time</th><th class="cl-7685780c">EPU</th><th class="cl-7685780d">Town</th><th class="cl-76857816">Eng</th><th class="cl-76857817">Eng_ct</th><th class="cl-76857816">Rel</th><th class="cl-76857818">Rel_ct</th><th class="cl-76857820">Personal Disruption</th><th class="cl-7685782a">Population Composition</th><th class="cl-7685782b">Poverty</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7685782c">2022</td><td class="cl-76857834">NE</td><td class="cl-7685783e">New Bedford, MA</td><td class="cl-7685783f">32.873</td><td class="cl-76857848">4</td><td class="cl-7685783f">0.702</td><td class="cl-76857849">3</td><td class="cl-7685784a">3</td><td class="cl-76857852">4</td><td class="cl-76857853">3</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-76857854">2022</td><td class="cl-76857855">NE</td><td class="cl-7685785c">Narragansett/Point Judith, RI</td><td class="cl-7685785d">10.842</td><td class="cl-7685785e">4</td><td class="cl-7685785d">1.476</td><td class="cl-7685785f">4</td><td class="cl-76857866">1</td><td class="cl-76857870">1</td><td class="cl-76857871">1</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7685782c">2022</td><td class="cl-76857834">NE</td><td class="cl-7685783e">Gloucester, MA</td><td class="cl-7685783f">10.126</td><td class="cl-76857848">4</td><td class="cl-7685783f">0.570</td><td class="cl-76857849">3</td><td class="cl-7685784a">1</td><td class="cl-76857852">1</td><td class="cl-76857853">1</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7685787a">2022</td><td class="cl-7685787b">NE</td><td class="cl-76857884">Portland, ME</td><td class="cl-76857885">5.870</td><td class="cl-7685788e">4</td><td class="cl-76857885">0.010</td><td class="cl-7685788f">2</td><td class="cl-76857890">1</td><td class="cl-76857898">1</td><td class="cl-76857899">1</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7685787a">2022</td><td class="cl-7685787b">NE</td><td class="cl-76857884">Boston, MA</td><td class="cl-76857885">5.860</td><td class="cl-7685788e">4</td><td class="cl-76857885">-0.109</td><td class="cl-7685788f">1</td><td class="cl-76857890">2</td><td class="cl-76857898">4</td><td class="cl-76857899">3</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-76857854">2022</td><td class="cl-76857855">NE</td><td class="cl-7685785c">Port Clyde-Tenants Harbor, ME</td><td class="cl-7685785d">4.940</td><td class="cl-7685785e">4</td><td class="cl-7685785d">3.147</td><td class="cl-7685785f">4</td><td class="cl-76857866">2</td><td class="cl-76857870">1</td><td class="cl-76857871">2</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-76857854">2022</td><td class="cl-76857855">NE</td><td class="cl-7685785c">Harpswell/Bailey Island, ME</td><td class="cl-7685785d">4.533</td><td class="cl-7685785e">4</td><td class="cl-7685785d">1.660</td><td class="cl-7685785f">4</td><td class="cl-76857866">1</td><td class="cl-76857870">1</td><td class="cl-76857871">1</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7685782c">2022</td><td class="cl-76857834">NE</td><td class="cl-7685783e">Chatham, MA</td><td class="cl-7685783f">4.404</td><td class="cl-76857848">4</td><td class="cl-7685783f">5.002</td><td class="cl-76857849">4</td><td class="cl-7685784a">1</td><td class="cl-76857852">1</td><td class="cl-76857853">1</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-76857854">2022</td><td class="cl-76857855">NE</td><td class="cl-7685785c">Stonington, ME</td><td class="cl-7685785d">3.773</td><td class="cl-7685785e">4</td><td class="cl-7685785d">10.002</td><td class="cl-7685785f">4</td><td class="cl-76857866">1</td><td class="cl-76857870">1</td><td class="cl-76857871">1</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-768578a2">2022</td><td class="cl-768578ac">NE</td><td class="cl-768578ad">Friendship, ME</td><td class="cl-768578b6">3.107</td><td class="cl-768578b7">4</td><td class="cl-768578b6">4.573</td><td class="cl-768578c0">4</td><td class="cl-768578ca">1</td><td class="cl-768578cb">1</td><td class="cl-768578cc">1</td></tr></tbody></table></div>

]

Implications: Highlighted communities may be vulnerable to changes in fishing patterns due to regulations and/or climate change. When also experiencing social vulnerabilities, they may have lower ability to successfully respond to change.

---
## Community Social and Climate Vulnerability &emsp; Risk element: Social

Indicators: Commercial fishery engagement, social vulnerability, revenue climate vulnerability
.pull-left[
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/commercial-engagement-1.png" width="504" />
]

.pull-right[
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1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-78add82d{width:1.255in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-78add82e{width:1.459in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-78add836{width:0.662in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-78add837{width:1.835in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-78add840{width:1.255in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-78add841{width:1.459in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-78add842{width:0.662in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}</style><table data-quarto-disable-processing='true' class='cl-78b234bc'><thead><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><th class="cl-78add7b4">Community</th><th class="cl-78add7be">Personal Disruption</th><th class="cl-78add7bf">Population Composition</th><th class="cl-78add7c8">Poverty</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add7c9">Cape May, NJ</td><td class="cl-78add7d2">low</td><td class="cl-78add7d3">med</td><td class="cl-78add7d4">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add7dc">Reedville, VA</td><td class="cl-78add7dd">low</td><td class="cl-78add7de">low</td><td class="cl-78add7e6">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add7dc">Montauk, NY</td><td class="cl-78add7dd">low</td><td class="cl-78add7de">low</td><td class="cl-78add7e6">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add7dc">Point Pleasant Beach, NJ</td><td class="cl-78add7dd">med</td><td class="cl-78add7de">low</td><td class="cl-78add7e6">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add7c9">Hampton Bays/Shinnecock, NY</td><td class="cl-78add7d2">low</td><td class="cl-78add7d3">high</td><td class="cl-78add7d4">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add7e7">Barnegat Light, NJ</td><td class="cl-78add7f0">low</td><td class="cl-78add7f1">low</td><td class="cl-78add7f2">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add7c9">Bronx/City Island, NY</td><td class="cl-78add7d2">high</td><td class="cl-78add7d3">high</td><td class="cl-78add7d4">high</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add7fa">Newport News, VA</td><td class="cl-78add7fb">med</td><td class="cl-78add7fc">low</td><td class="cl-78add804">med</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add7fa">Hampton, VA</td><td class="cl-78add7fb">med</td><td class="cl-78add7fc">low</td><td class="cl-78add804">med</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add805">Wanchese, NC</td><td class="cl-78add806">low</td><td class="cl-78add80e">low</td><td class="cl-78add80f">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add7c9">Atlantic City, NJ</td><td class="cl-78add7d2">high</td><td class="cl-78add7d3">high</td><td class="cl-78add7d4">high</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add810">Ocean City, MD</td><td class="cl-78add818">med</td><td class="cl-78add819">low</td><td class="cl-78add822">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add82c">Swan Quarter, NC</td><td class="cl-78add82d">low</td><td class="cl-78add82e">low</td><td class="cl-78add836">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add7e7">Wachapreague, VA</td><td class="cl-78add7f0">low</td><td class="cl-78add7f1">low</td><td class="cl-78add7f2">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add810">Quinby, VA</td><td class="cl-78add818">med</td><td class="cl-78add819">low</td><td class="cl-78add822">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add7dc">Bowers, DE</td><td class="cl-78add7dd">low</td><td class="cl-78add7de">low</td><td class="cl-78add7e6">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add7e7">Little Creek, DE</td><td class="cl-78add7f0">high</td><td class="cl-78add7f1">low</td><td class="cl-78add7f2">high</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-78add837">Oak Beach, NY</td><td class="cl-78add840">low</td><td class="cl-78add841">low</td><td class="cl-78add842"></td></tr></tbody></table></div>

]

---
## Community Social and Climate Vulnerability &emsp; Risk element: Social

Indicators: Commercial fishery revenue climate vulnerability
.pull-left[
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/commvulex-1.png" width="468" />
The [Community Climate Change Risk Indicators](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/community_climate_vulnerability.html) are calculated by multiplying the percent contribution of species to the total value landed in a community by their respective Total Vulnerability scores (based on NOAA’s Climate Vulnerability Assessment) for different sensitivity and exposure factors and then summing the resulting values by year.
]

.pull-right[
.center[
![:img CCCVR map total vulnerability, 80%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/ecodata/raw/dev/data-raw/workshop/images/NE_Total_Vulnerability_092624-TarsilaSeara_2025.jpg)
]
]

---
## Community Social and Climate Vulnerability &emsp; Risk element: Social

Indicators: Recreational fishery engagement, social vulnerability

.pull-left[

<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/recreational-engagement-1.png" alt="Recreational engagement and population relative engagement with labels for the top recreationally engaged fishing communities in the Mid-Atlantic." width="504" />
]

.pull-right[
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1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-7d7a20d8{width:2.193in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-7d7a20e0{width:1.255in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-7d7a20e1{width:1.459in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}.cl-7d7a20ea{width:0.662in;background-color:transparent;vertical-align: middle;border-bottom: 1.5pt solid rgba(102, 102, 102, 1.00);border-top: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-left: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);border-right: 0 solid rgba(0, 0, 0, 1.00);margin-bottom:0;margin-top:0;margin-left:0;margin-right:0;}</style><table data-quarto-disable-processing='true' class='cl-7d7e8dce'><thead><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><th class="cl-7d7a205e">Community</th><th class="cl-7d7a2068">Personal Disruption</th><th class="cl-7d7a2069">Population Composition</th><th class="cl-7d7a206a">Poverty</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a2072">Cape May, NJ</td><td class="cl-7d7a2073">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a207c">med</td><td class="cl-7d7a207d">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a207e">Montauk, NY</td><td class="cl-7d7a2086">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a2087">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a2088">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a207e">Point Pleasant Beach, NJ</td><td class="cl-7d7a2086">med</td><td class="cl-7d7a2087">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a2088">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a2090">Barnegat Light, NJ</td><td class="cl-7d7a2091">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a209a">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a209b">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a20a4">Ocean City, MD</td><td class="cl-7d7a20a5">med</td><td class="cl-7d7a20a6">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a20ae">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a2090">Virginia Beach, VA</td><td class="cl-7d7a2091">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a209a">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a209b">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a2072">Morehead City, NC</td><td class="cl-7d7a2073">med</td><td class="cl-7d7a207c">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a207d">med</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a20af">Hatteras township, NC</td><td class="cl-7d7a20b0">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a20b8">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a20b9">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a2090">Wachapreague, VA</td><td class="cl-7d7a2091">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a209a">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a209b">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a2090">Avon, NC</td><td class="cl-7d7a2091">high</td><td class="cl-7d7a209a">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a209b"></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a2090">Atlantic Highlands, NJ</td><td class="cl-7d7a2091">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a209a">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a209b">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a2090">Babylon, NY</td><td class="cl-7d7a2091">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a209a">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a209b">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a2072">Nags Head, NC</td><td class="cl-7d7a2073">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a207c">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a207d">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a207e">Point Lookout, NY</td><td class="cl-7d7a2086">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a2087">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a2088">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a2090">Nanticoke, MD</td><td class="cl-7d7a2091">med high</td><td class="cl-7d7a209a">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a209b">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a20ba">Orient, NY</td><td class="cl-7d7a20c2">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a20c3">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a20c4"></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a2090">Bivalve, MD</td><td class="cl-7d7a2091">med</td><td class="cl-7d7a209a">high</td><td class="cl-7d7a209b"></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a20cc">Rodanthe, NC</td><td class="cl-7d7a20cd">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a20d6">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a20d7"></td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a20af">Topsail Beach, NC</td><td class="cl-7d7a20b0">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a20b8">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a20b9">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a2072">Solomons Island/Solomons/Lusby, MD</td><td class="cl-7d7a2073">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a207c">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a207d">low</td></tr><tr style="overflow-wrap:break-word;"><td class="cl-7d7a20d8">Stevensville, MD</td><td class="cl-7d7a20e0">med</td><td class="cl-7d7a20e1">low</td><td class="cl-7d7a20ea">low</td></tr></tbody></table></div>

]

???
Implications: Highlighted communities may be vulnerable to changes in fishing patterns due to regulations and/or climate change.

---
## Objectives: Coastwide Protected species *Maintain bycatch below thresholds* ![:img mixed trend icon, 2%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//Mixed trends.png) ![:img meeting objectives icon, 2%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//checked.png)

.pull-left[
Indicators: Harbor porpoise and gray seal bycatch

]

.pull-right[
Implications:

* Currently meeting objectives, but uncertainty in gray seal estimates

* Risk element: TechInteract, evaluated by species and sector: 14 low, 7 low-mod, 2 mod-high risk

* The downward trend in harbor porpoise bycatch can also be due to a decrease in harbor porpoise abundance in US waters, reducing their overlap with fisheries, and a decrease in gillnet effort.

* Gray seal among the highest bycatch of any U.S. marine mammal. The increasing trend in gray seal bycatch may be related to an increase in the gray seal population (U.S. pup counts).
]

---
## Objectives: Coastwide Protected species *Recover endangered populations* ![:img decreasing arrow icon, 2%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//decrease.png) ![:img below average icon icon, 2%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//below long term ave.png)

.pull-left[
Indicators: North Atlantic right whale population, calf counts

]

.pull-right[
Implications:

* Signs the adult population stabilized 2020-2023

* Population drivers for North Atlantic Right Whales (NARW) include combined fishery interactions/ship strikes, distribution shifts, and copepod availability.

* Additional potential stressors include offshore wind development, which overlaps with important habitat areas used year-round by right whales, including mother and calf migration corridors and foraging habitat.

* Unusual mortality events continue for 3 large whale species.

]

---
# 2025 Risks to meeting fishery management objectives

.center[
![:img Climate icon made by EDAB, 25%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//3_CLIMATE.png) &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; ![:img Wind icon made by EDAB, 25%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//24.WIND.png)
]

.center[
![:img Hydrography icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//1_HYDROGRAPHY.png) &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; ![:img Phytoplankon icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//9_PHYTOPLANKTON.png) &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; ![:img Forage fish icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//13_FORAGEFISH.png) &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; ![:img Apex predators icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//17.APEXPREDATORS.png)  &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; ![:img Other human uses icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//8_OTHERHUMANUSES.png) 
]

---
## Risks to Managing Spatially: Coastwide

.pull-left[
Indicators: Fish distribution shifts

]

.pull-right[
Cetacean distribution shifts

]

---
.pull-left[
## Risks to Managing Spatially: Coastwide

Drivers: Forage shifts, pelagic and benthic
 
 
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/forageshifts-1.png" alt="Eastward (left) and northward (right) shifts in the center of gravity for 20 forage fish species on the Northeast U.S. Shelf, with increasing trend (orange) for fall eastward and northward center of gravity." width="576" />

New Spatial Shift Indicators: [Benthos](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/benthos_index.html), [Zooplankton](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/zooplankton_index.html)
]

.pull-right[
Drivers: changing ocean habitat

.contrib[
Cold pool temperature and spatial extent
]
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/cold-pool-size-1.png" alt="Seasonal cold pool mean temperature (left) and spatial extent index (right), based on bias-corrected ROMS-NWA (open circles) and GLORYS (closed circles), with declining trends (purple)." width="540" />

]

---
## Risks to Managing Seasonally: Coastwide

Indicators: spawning timing, migration change

.pull-left-70[

]

.pull-right-30[
*  Recreational tuna fisheries [50 days earlier](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/timing_shifts.html#key-results-and-visualizations-59) in the year in 2019 compared to 2002. 
*  In Cape Cod Bay, peak spring habitat use by right and humpback whales has shifted 18-19 days later over time.
*  Baseline information on [large whale seasonal presence](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/cetacean_acoustic.html) has been collected.
]

---
.pull-left[
## Risks to Managing Seasonally: Mid-Atlantic

Drivers: thermal transition, habitat persistence, bloom timing

.contrib[
Cold pool seasonal persistence
]
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/cold-pool-time-1.png" alt="Cold pool persistence index based on bias-corrected ROMS-NWA (open circles) and GLORYS (closed circles)." width="504" />

]

.pull-right[
.contrib[
Bloom timing
]
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/montlychl-1.png" alt="Monthly median chlorophyll a concentration in the MAB (black) with significant increase in January (orange line) and decrease in September (purple line)." width="1008" />

Future considerations

*  Management actions that rely on effective alignment of fisheries availability and biological processes should continue to evaluate whether prior assumptions on seasonal timings still hold.

*  New indicators should be developed to monitor timing shifts for stocks.

]
???

---
## Risks to Setting Catch Limits: Mid-Atlantic
.pull-left[
Indicators: fish productivity and condition

<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/productivity-anomaly-1.png" alt="Fish productivity measures. Left: Small fish per large fish survey biomass anomaly in the Mid-Atlantic Bight. Right: assessment recruitment per spawning stock biomass anomaly for stocks mainly in the Mid-Atlantic. The summed anomaly across species is shown by the black line, drawn across all years with the same number of stocks analyzed." width="576" />
]

.pull-right[

<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/mab-cf-1.png" alt="Condition factor for fish species in the MAB based on fall NEFSC bottom trawl survey data. MAB data are missing for 2017 due to survey delays, and no survey was conducted in 2020." width="1440" />
]

???

<a name=cite-perretti_regime_2017></a>([Perretti et al., 2017](http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/meps/v574/p1-11/))

---
## Risks to Setting Catch Limits: Mid Atlantic Drivers

.pull-left[
Drivers: Forage Quality and Abundance

<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/foragebio-1.png" alt="Forage fish index in the MAB for spring (blue) and fall (red) surveys, with a decline (purple) in fall. Index values are relative to the maximum observation within a region across surveys." width="504" />
]

.pull-right[
New indicators: benthos abundance
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/benthos-1.png" alt="Changes in spring (blue) and fall (red) benthos abundance in the MAB for megabenthos (left) and macrobenthos (right)." width="540" />

]

---
## Risks to Setting Catch Limits: Mid Atlantic Drivers

Drivers: Low trophic levels

.center[

]

???

---
## Risks to Setting Catch Limits: Coastwide

Drivers: Environmental
*Potential Ocean Acidification Impacts: Scallops and Longfin squid*

Drivers: Predation  
*Seals increasing, mix of population status for HMS*

---
## Risks: Offshore Wind Development Mid Atlantic &emsp; Elements: OSW1 and OSW2

.pull-left[
Indicators: fishery and community specific revenue in lease areas

<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-36-1.png" width="504" />
Council request: New England ports relying on Mid-Atlantic managed species

]

.pull-right[
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-37-1.png" width="504" />
]

---
background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/ecodata/raw/master/data-raw/workshop/images/SOE_2023_right_whales_hatteras_frame_v3_2024.jpg")
background-size: 500px
background-position: right

## Risks: Offshore Wind Development: Implications

.pull-left[

Implications:
*  Current plans for buildout of offshore wind in a patchwork of areas spreads the impacts differentially throughout the region. 
*  Lease areas overlap with North Atlantic right whale habitat. Development may alter local oceanography and prey availability, increase vessel strike risk, and result in pile driving noise impacts.
]

.pull-right[]

???

---
background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/CCCFA-Feb2025-highlight.png")
background-size: 600px
background-position: right

## 2024 Highlights: Methods

.pull-left-60[
Observations solicited from:

*  SOE contributors
*  NEFSC colleagues
*  Academic colleagues
*  Management partners
*  Fishing industry

We welcome your observations! <northeast.ecosystem.highlights@noaa.gov>

Observations included if:

*  Record high or low observations
*  Different from recent conditions
*  Reported by multiple sources
*  Affecting fishery operations
*  Newsworthy

*Not exhaustive list; Full impacts remain to be seen*

]

.pull-right-40[]

.footnote[
Reprinted from [Cape Cod Commercial Fisherman's Alliance](https://capecodfishermen.org/) February 2025 Newsletter &rarr;
]

---
## 2024 Highlights: generally cooler, fresher Northeast Shelf

.pull-left[
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/slopesea-1.png" alt="February 2024 sea surface temperature difference compared to the February 2000-2020 long-term mean from the NOAA Advanced Clear-Sky Processor for Ocean (ACSPO) Super-collated SST." width="100%" />
]

.pull-right[
Globally, 2024 warmest year on record (above previous record 2023)

BUT, nearly all NE shelf seasonal surface and bottom temperatures back to longer term average

2023-2024 data suggest more Labrador slope water into the GOM <a name=cite-record_early_2024></a>([Record et al., 2024](https://tos.org/oceanography/article/early-warning-of-a-cold-wave-in-the-gulf-of-maine))

Linked to well-developed 2024 Mid Atlantic Cold Pool

]

---
.pull-left[
## 2024 Highlights

Extreme observation of ocean acidification risk off NJ

Multiple summer upwelling events off NJ

]

.pull-right[

Unusual timing, location, abundance:

*  Fishery observations
    *  Delayed migration of longfin squid, black sea bass, haddock
    *  Unusual locations for pollock, bluefin tuna, Atlantic mackerel, longfin squid, bluefish, and bonito
    *  Local abundance of Atlantic mackerel
    *  Record catches of red drum in Chesapeake Bay
*  Good scallop recruitment in Nantucket lightship
*  Arctic copepods in GOM
*  Cocolithophore bloom off NY
*  Large whale aggregations

.right[
<img src="20250528_SOE_Seminar_Beltz_files/figure-html/cocobloom-1.png" alt="An OLCI Sentinel 3A true color image with enhanced contrast captured on July 2, 2024. Coccolithophores shed their coccolith plates during the later stages of the bloom cycle, which results in the milky turquoise water color (Image credit: NOAA STAR, OCView and Ocean Color Science Team)." width="55%" />
]
]

---
background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//noaa-iea.png")
background-size: 350px
background-position: right bottom

## THANK YOU! SOEs made possible by (at least) 88 contributors from 20+ institutions

.table[
![:col_row 
 Andrew Applegate (NEFMC) 
 Kimberly Bastille 
 Aaron Beaver (Anchor QEA) 
 Andy Beet 
 Brandon Beltz 
 Ruth Boettcher (Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries) 
 Mandy Bromilow (NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office) 
 Joseph Caracappa 
 Samuel Chavez-Rosales 
 Baoshan Chen (Stony Brook University) 
 Zhuomin Chen (UConn) 
 Doug Christel (GARFO) 
 Patricia Clay 
 Lisa Colburn 
 Jennifer Cudney (NMFS Atlantic HMS Management Division) 
 Tobey Curtis (NMFS Atlantic HMS Management Division) 
 Art Degaetano (Cornell U) 
 Geret DePiper 
 Bart DiFiore (GMRI) 
 Emily Farr (NMFS Office of Habitat Conservation) 
 Michael Fogarty 
 Paula Fratantoni 
 Kevin Friedland,
 
 Marjy Friedrichs (VIMS) 
 Sarah Gaichas 
 Ben Galuardi (GAFRO) 
 Avijit Gangopadhyay (SMAST UMass Dartmouth) 
 James Gartland (VIMS) 
 Lori Garzio (Rutgers University) 
 Glen Gawarkiewicz (WHOI) 
 Laura Gruenburg 
 Sean Hardison 
 Dvora Hart 
 Cliff Hutt (NMFS Atlantic HMS Management Division) 
 Kimberly Hyde 
 John Kocik 
 Steve Kress (National Audubon Society’s Seabird Restoration Program) 
 Young-Oh Kwon (Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution) 
 Scott Large 
 Gabe Larouche (Cornell U) 
 Daniel Linden 
 Andrew Lipsky 
 Sean Lucey (RWE) 
 Don Lyons (National Audubon Society’s Seabird Restoration Program) 
 Chris Melrose 
 Anna Mercer,
 
 Shannon Meseck 
 Ryan Morse 
 Ray Mroch (SEFSC) 
 Brandon Muffley (MAFMC) 
 Robert Murphy 
 Kimberly Murray 
 NEFSC staff 
 David Moe Nelson (NCCOS) 
 Chris Orphanides 
 Richard Pace 
 Debi Palka 
 Tom Parham (Maryland DNR) 
 CJ Pellerin (NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office) 
 Charles Perretti 
 Kristin Precoda 
 Grace Roskar (NMFS Office of Habitat Conservation) 
 Jeffrey Runge (U Maine) 
 Grace Saba (Rutgers University) 
 Vincent Saba 
 Sarah Salois 
 Chris Schillaci (GARFO) 
 Amy Schueller (SEFSC) 
 Teresa Schwemmer (URI),
 
 Tarsila Seara 
 Dave Secor (CBL) 
 Emily Slesinger 
 Angela Silva 
 Adrienne Silver (UMass/SMAST) 
 Talya tenBrink (GARFO) 
 Abigail Tyrell 
 Rebecca Van Hoeck 
 Bruce Vogt (NOAA Chesapeake Bay Office) 
 Ron Vogel (University of Maryland Cooperative Institute for Satellite Earth System Studies and NOAA/NESDIS Center for Satellite Applications and Research) 
 John Walden 
 Harvey Walsh 
 Sarah Weisberg 
 Changhua Weng 
 Dave Wilcox (VIMS) 
 Timothy White (Environmental Studies Program BOEM) 
 Sarah Wilkin (NMFS Office of Protected Resources) 
 Mark Wuenschel 
 Qian Zhang (U Maryland)]
]

???

---
## References

.contrib[
<a name=bib-bastille_improving_2020></a>[Bastille, K. et
al.](#cite-bastille_improving_2020) (2020). "Improving the IEA Approach
Using Principles of Open Data Science". In: _Coastal Management_ 0.0.
Publisher: Taylor & Francis \_ eprint:
https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155, pp. 1-18. ISSN:
0892-0753. DOI:
[10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155](https://doi.org/10.1080%2F08920753.2021.1846155).
URL:
[https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155](https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155)
(visited on Dec. 09, 2020).

<a name=bib-depiper_operationalizing_2017></a>[DePiper, G. S. et
al.](#cite-depiper_operationalizing_2017) (2017). "Operationalizing
integrated ecosystem assessments within a multidisciplinary team:
lessons learned from a worked example". En. In: _ICES Journal of Marine
Science_ 74.8, pp. 2076-2086. ISSN: 1054-3139. DOI:
[10.1093/icesjms/fsx038](https://doi.org/10.1093%2Ficesjms%2Ffsx038).
URL:
[https://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article/74/8/2076/3094701](https://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article/74/8/2076/3094701)
(visited on Mar. 09, 2018).

<a name=bib-muffley_there_2020></a>[Muffley, B. et
al.](#cite-muffley_there_2020) (2020). "There Is no I in EAFM Adapting
Integrated Ecosystem Assessment for Mid-Atlantic Fisheries Management".
In: _Coastal Management_ 0.0. Publisher: Taylor & Francis \_ eprint:
https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156, pp. 1-17. ISSN:
0892-0753. DOI:
[10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156](https://doi.org/10.1080%2F08920753.2021.1846156).
URL:
[https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156](https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156)
(visited on Dec. 09, 2020).

<a name=bib-perretti_regime_2017></a>[Perretti, C. et
al.](#cite-perretti_regime_2017) (2017). "Regime shifts in fish
recruitment on the Northeast US Continental Shelf". En. In: _Marine
Ecology Progress Series_ 574, pp. 1-11. ISSN: 0171-8630, 1616-1599.
DOI: [10.3354/meps12183](https://doi.org/10.3354%2Fmeps12183). URL:
[http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/meps/v574/p1-11/](http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/meps/v574/p1-11/)
(visited on Feb. 10, 2022).

<a name=bib-record_early_2024></a>[Record, N. R. et
al.](#cite-record_early_2024) (2024). "Early Warning of a Cold Wave in
the Gulf of Maine". In: _Oceanography_ 37.3, pp. 6-9. DOI:
[10.5670/oceanog.2024.506](https://doi.org/10.5670%2Foceanog.2024.506).
URL:
[https://tos.org/oceanography/article/early-warning-of-a-cold-wave-in-the-gulf-of-maine](https://tos.org/oceanography/article/early-warning-of-a-cold-wave-in-the-gulf-of-maine)
(visited on Mar. 04, 2025).
]

## Additional resources
.pull-left[
* [ecodata R package](https://github.com/noaa-edab/ecodata)

* [Indicator catalog](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/)

* [SOE Technical Documentation](https://noaa-edab.github.io/tech-doc)

]
.pull-right[
* [SOE Reports on the web](https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/new-england-mid-atlantic/ecosystems/state-ecosystem-reports-northeast-us-shelf)

.contrib[

* Slides available at https://noaa-edab.github.io/presentations
* Contact: <Brandon.Beltz@noaa.gov>
]
]

???

---
background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/SOE_feature_image.png")
background-size: 1200px
background-position: center

.right[
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
# Thank you!

# Questions?
]