Ecosystem indicators linked to management objectives (DePiper et al., 2017)
Open science emphasis (Bastille et al., 2020)
Used within Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management Council's Ecosystem Process (Muffley et al., 2020)
The IEA Loop1
Objective Categories | Indicators reported |
---|---|
Provisioning and Cultural Services | |
Seafood Production | Landings; commercial total and by feeding guild; recreational harvest |
Profits | Revenue decomposed to price and volume |
Recreation | Angler trips; recreational fleet diversity |
Stability | Diversity indices (fishery and ecosystem) |
Social & Cultural | Community engagement/reliance and environmental justice status |
Protected Species | Bycatch; population (adult and juvenile) numbers, mortalities |
Supporting and Regulating Services | |
Biomass | Biomass or abundance by feeding guild from surveys |
Productivity | Condition and recruitment of managed species, primary productivity |
Trophic structure | Relative biomass of feeding guilds, zooplankton |
Habitat | Estuarine and offshore habitat conditions |
Characterizing ecosystem change for fishery management
Needs a name
Bulleted and graphical observations of anomalous conditions in 2023
THIS WILL BE DECIDED ON WEDNESDAY
Spatial scale
A glossary of terms (2021 Memo 5), detailed technical methods documentation and indicator data are available online.
Key to figures
Trends assessed only for 30+ years: more information
Orange line = significant increase
Purple line = significant decrease
No color line = not significant or < 30 yearsGrey background = last 10 years
Request | Year | Source | Status | Progress | Memo Section |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profits vs Revenue | 2023 | Everybody | 1 | ||
OA linked to scallop harvest in areas where aragonite saturation is highlighted. | 2023 | Everybody | 2 | ||
Document usage of reports and supporting products | 2023 | NEFMC | 3 | ||
Time series of social indicators | 2023 | NEFMC | 4 | ||
Stability indicator - yield over time in NE | 2023 | NEFMC | 5 | ||
Vessel-level diversity vs fleet level diversity | 2023 | NEFMC | 6 | ||
climate change impacts on NEFSC surveys - change in survey catchability | 2023 | NEFMC | 7 | ||
PRIORITY! threshold analysis - tipping points and uncertainty/spatial variability characterization | 2023 | NEFMC | 8 | ||
Inclusion of upcoming HMS climate vulnerability assessment | 2023 | NEFMC | 9 | ||
PRIORITY! Sum of TAC/Landings Relative to TAC | 2023 | NEFMC | 10 | ||
PRIORITY! Focus on benthic indicators | 2023 | NEFMC | 11 | ||
Trend Analysis / Break points | 2022 | MAFMC SSC | 12 | ||
Environmental Justice - Further Explanation and maybe have Soc Sci folks on call to explain | 2022 | MAFMC SSC | 13 | ||
SOE usage tracking | 2022 | MAFMC SSC | 14 | ||
Tell Social stories like we try to tell biological stories | 2022 | GARFO | 15 | ||
What determines a "risk"? Include aquaculture as a risk? | 2022 | NEFMC SSC | 16 | ||
Include estimates of inclusion years in request memo | 2022 | NEFMC SSC | 17 | ||
impact of climate on data streams (changes in catchability of survey) | 2022 | NEFMC SSC | 18 | ||
Modeling cold pool/wcr and wind development interactions | 2022 | MAFMC | 19 | ||
Using phytoplankton trends to forecast fish stocks | 2022 | MAFMC | 20 | ||
Include New England ports with significant reliance on mid species be included in the MA SOE | 2022 | MAFMC | 21 | ||
Short term forecasting (water temp, productivity) | 2022 | NEFMC | 22 | ||
Add "This report is for [audience]" | 2021 | MAFMC SSC | In SOE | Introduction section | 23 |
State management objectives first in report | 2021 | NEFMC | In SOE | Introduction section + Table | 24 |
Ocean acidification (OA) in NEFMC SOE | 2021 | NEFMC SSC | In SOE | Climate risks section | 25 |
Habitat impact of fishing based on gear. | 2021 | NEFMC | In SOE | Habitat risks section | 26 |
Revisit right whale language | 2021 | NEFMC | In SOE | Protected species section | 27 |
Sum of TAC/ Landings relative to TAC | 2021 | MAFMC SSC | In SOE-MAFMC | Seafood production section | 28 |
Estuarine Water Quality | 2020 | NEFMC | In SOE-MAFMC, In progress-NEFMC | 29 | |
More direct opportunities for feedback | 2021 | MAFMC SSC | In progress | MAFMC SSC ecosystem subgroup | 30 |
Further definition of regime shift | 2021 | MAFMC SSC | In progress | Regime shift analyses for specific indicators define "abrupt" and "persistent" quantitatively | 31 |
Expand collaboration with Canadian counterparts | 2021 | MAFMC SSC | In progress | Currently drafting a NMFS-DFO climate/fisheries collaboration framework. | 32 |
Fall turnover date index | 2021 | MAFMC SSC | In progress | See Current Conditions report | 33 |
Links between species availability inshore/offshore (estuarine conditions) and trends in recreational fishing effort? | 2021 | MAFMC | In progress | Bluefish prey index inshore/offshore partially addresses | 34 |
Apex predator index (pinnipeds) | 2021 | NEFMC | In progress | Protected species branch developing time series | 35 |
Forage availability index (Herring/Sandlance) | 2021 | NEFMC | In progress | Bluefish prey index partially addresses | 36 |
Fishery gear modifications accounted for in shark CPUE? | 2021 | MAFMC | In progress | Updated methods in tech-doc | 37 |
Trend analysis | 2021 | NEFMC SSC | In progress | Evaluating empirical thresholds | 38 |
Regime shifts in Social-Economic indicators | 2021 | NEFMC SSC | In progress | National working group and regional study | 39 |
Linking Condition | 2020 | MAFMC | In progress | Not ready for 2022 | 40 |
Cumulative weather index | 2020 | MAFMC | In progress | Data gathered for prototype | 41 |
VAST and uncertainty | 2020 | Both Councils | In progress | Not ready for 2022 | 42 |
Seal index | 2020 | MAFMC | In progress | Not ready for 2022 | 43 |
Breakpoints | 2020 | NEFMC | In progress | Evaluating empirical thresholds | 44 |
Management complexity | 2019 | MAFMC | In progress | Student work needs further analysis, no further work this year | 45 |
Shellfish growth/distribution linked to climate (system productivity) | 2019 | MAFMC | In progress | Project with A. Hollander | 46 |
Avg weight of diet components by feeding group | 2019 | Internal | In progress | Part of fish condition project | 47 |
Mean stomach weight across feeding guilds | 2019 | MAFMC | In progress | Intern evaluated trends in guild diets | 48 |
Inflection points for indicators | 2019 | Both Councils | In progress | Evaluating empirical thresholds | 49 |
Recreational bycatch mortality as an indicator of regulatory waste | 2021 | MAFMC SSC | Not started | Lacking resources this year | 50 |
Sturgeon Bycatch | 2021 | MAFMC SSC | Not started | Lacking resources this year | 51 |
Decomposition of diversity drivers highlighting social components | 2021 | MAFMC SSC | Not started | Lacking resources this year | 52 |
Changing per capita seafood consumption as driver of revenue? | 2021 | MAFMC | Not started | Lacking resources this year | 53 |
Nutrient input, Benthic Flux and POC(particulate organic carbon ) to inform benthic productivity by something other than surface indidcators | 2021 | MAFMC SSC | Not started | Lacking resources this year | 54 |
Relate OA to nutrient input; are there "dead zones" (hypoxia)? | 2021 | MAFMC | Not started | Lacking resources this year | 55 |
Indicators of chemical pollution in offshore waters | 2021 | MAFMC | Not started | Lacking resources this year | 56 |
How does phyto size comp affect EOF indicator, if at all? | 2021 | MAFMC | Not started | May pursue with MAFMC SSC eco WG | 57 |
Indicator of scallop pred pops poorly sampled by bottom trawls | 2021 | NEFMC | Not started | Lacking resources this year | 58 |
Compare EOF (Link) thresholds to empirical thresholds (Large, Tam) | 2021 | MAFMC SSC | Not started | May pursue with MAFMC SSC eco WG | 59 |
Time series analysis (Zooplankton/Forage fish) to tie into regime shifts | 2021 | MAFMC SSC | Not started | Lacking resources this year | 60 |
Optimum yield for ecosystem | 2021 | NEFMC | Not started | May pursue with MAFMC SSC eco WG | 61 |
Re-evaluate EPUs | 2020 | NEFMC | Not started | Lacking resources this year | 62 |
Incorporate social sciences survey from council | 2020 | NEFMC | Not started | Lacking resources this year | 63 |
Biomass of spp not included in BTS | 2020 | MAFMC | Not started | Lacking resources this year | 64 |
Reduce indicator dimensionality with multivariate statistics | 2020 | NEFMC | Not started | Lacking resources this year | 65 |
Estuarine condition relative to power plants and temp | 2019 | MAFMC | Not started | Lacking resources this year | 66 |
Young of Year index from multiple surveys | 2019 | MAFMC | Not started | Lacking resources this year | 67 |
Performance relative to management objectives
Seafood production ,
Profits ,
Recreational opportunities: Effort
; Effort diversity
Stability: Fishery
; Ecological
Social and cultural, trend not evaluated, status of:
Protected species:
Risks to meeting fishery management objectives
Climate: warming and changing oceanography continue
Other ocean uses: offshore wind development
Performance relative to management objectives - Georges Bank
Seafood production ,
Profits ,
Recreational opportunities: Effort ,
; Effort diversity
,
Stability: Fishery , Commercial
Rec
; Ecological
Social and cultural, trend not evaluated, status of:
Protected species:
Performance relative to management objectives - Gulf of Maine
Seafood production ,
Profits Total ,
; NEFMC Managed
,
Recreational opportunities: Effort ,
; Effort diversity
,
Stability: Fishery , Commercial
Rec
; Ecological
Social and cultural, trend not evaluated, status of:
Protected species:
Risks to meeting fishery management objectives
Climate: warming and changing oceanography continue
Risks to meeting fishery management objectives
Other ocean uses: offshore wind development
Indicator: Commercial landings
Indicators: Recreational harvest
Multiple potential drivers of landings changes: ecosystem and stock production, management actions, market conditions (including COVID-19 disruptions), and environmental change.
The long-term declining trend in landings didn't change.
Indicator: Stock status
Indicators: Total ABC or ACL, and Realized catch relative to management target
Few managed species have binding limits; Management less likely playing a role
Stock status affects catch limits established by the Council, which in turn may affect landings trends. Summed across all MAFMC managed species, total Acceptable Biological Catch or Annual Catch Limits (ABC or ACL) have been relatively stable 2012-2020 (top). With the addition of blueline tilefish management in 2017, an additional ABC and ACL contribute to the total 2017-2020. Discounting blueline tilefish, the recent total ABC or ACL is lower relative to 2012-2013, with much of that decrease due to declining Atlantic mackerel ABC.
Nevertheless, the percentage caught for each stock’s ABC/ACL suggests that these catch limits are not generally constraining as most species are well below the 1/1 ratio (bottom). Therefore, stock status and associated management constraints are unlikely to be driving decreased landings for the majority of species.
Biomass does not appear to drive landings trends
Key: Black = NEFSC survey;
Red = NEAMAP survey
New species categories, more southern species in BenthivoresMonitor:
climate risks including warming, ocean acidification, and shifting distributions
ecosystem composition and production changes
Because stock status is mostly acceptable, ABCs don't appear to be constraining for many stocks, and aggregate biomass trends appear stable, the decline in commercial landings is most likely driven by market dynamics affecting the landings of surfclams and ocean quahogs, as quotas are not binding for these species.
Climate change also seems to be shifting the distribution of surfclams and ocean quahogs, resulting in areas with overlapping distributions and increased mixed landings. Given the regulations governing mixed landings, this could become problematic in the future and is currently being evaluated by the Council.
Indicators: Commercial landings
I never put NAFO back in for 2019-2022...
Indicators: Recreational harvest
Multiple drivers: ecosystem and stock production, management, market conditions (including COVID-19 disruptions), and environmental change
Although scallop decreases are partially explained by a decreased TAC, analyses suggest that the drop in landings is at least partially due to market disruptions due to the COVID-19 pandemic. However, we do not anticipate the long-term declining trend in landings to change.
Indicator: Stock status
Stocks below BMSY increased from XX, stocks below ½ BMSY decreased from YY. Management still likely playing large role in seafood declines
Indicator: Survey biomass
Biomass availability still seems unlikely driver
Need to work with NEFMC staff to obtain dataset equivalent to that submitted by MAFMC staff for the Mid Atlantic.
Drivers:
Monitor:
Indicator: Commercial Revenue
Recent change driven by benthos
Monitor changes in climate and landings drivers:
Indicator: Bennet--price and volume indices baseline year for indicator has changed from previous reports
Recent declines in prices contributed to falling revenue as quantities landed did not increase enough to counteract declining prices.
Indicator: Commercial Revenue
Both regions driven by single species
Monitor changes in climate and landings drivers:
Indicator: Bennet--price and volume indices
Indicators: Recreational effort and fleet diversity
Implications
Changes in recreational fleet diversity can be considered when managers seek options to maintain recreational opportunities. Shore anglers will have access to different species than vessel-based anglers, and when the same species, typically smaller fish. Many states have developed shore-based regulations where the minimum size is lower than in other areas and sectors to maintain opportunities in the shore angling sector.
Indicators: Recreational effort and fleet diversity
Implications
Fishery Indicators: Commercial fleet count, fleet diversity
Most recent fleet counts at low range of series
Fishery Indicators: commercial species revenue diversity, recreational species catch diversity
Most recent near series low value. Covid role?
Ecological Indicators: zooplankton and larval fish diversity (not updated)
Ecological Indicator: expected number of species, NEFSC bottom trawl survey
Implications:
While larval and adult fish diversity indices are stable, a few warm-southern larval species are becoming more dominant. Increasing zooplankton diversity is driven by declining dominance of an important species, which warrants continued monitoring.
Fishery Indicators: Commercial fleet count, fleet diversity
Most recent around lowest points in series
Fishery Indicators: commercial species revenue diversity, recreational species catch diversity
Most recent lowest point in series. Covid role?
Ecological Indicators: zooplankton and larval fish diversity (not updated)
Ecological Indicator: expected number of species, NEFSC bottom trawl survey
Implications:
Indicators: Environmental justice vulnerability, commercial fishery engagement and reliance
Implications: Highlighted communities may be vulnerable to changes in fishing patterns due to regulations and/or climate change. When also experiencing environmental justice issues, they may have lower ability to successfully respond to change.
These plots provide a snapshot of the presence of environmental justice issues in the most highly engaged and most highly reliant commercial and recreational fishing communities in the Mid-Atlantic. These communities may be vulnerable to changes in fishing patterns due to regulations and/or climate change. When any of these communities are also experiencing social vulnerability including environmental justice issues, they may have lower ability to successfully respond to change.
Indicators: Environmental justice vulnerability, recreational fishery engagement and reliance
Implications: Highlighted communities may be vulnerable to changes in fishing patterns due to regulations and/or climate change. When also experiencing environmental justice issues, they may have lower ability to successfully respond to change.
Indicators: Environmental justice vulnerability, commercial fishery engagement and reliance
Implications: Highlighted communities may be vulnerable to changes in fishing patterns due to regulations and/or climate change. When also experiencing environmental justice issues, they may have lower ability to successfully respond to change.
These plots provide a snapshot of the presence of environmental justice issues in the most highly engaged and most highly reliant commercial and recreational fishing communities in the Mid-Atlantic. These communities may be vulnerable to changes in fishing patterns due to regulations and/or climate change. When any of these communities are also experiencing social vulnerability including environmental justice issues, they may have lower ability to successfully respond to change.
Indicators: Environmental justice vulnerability, recreational fishery engagement and reliance
Implications: Highlighted communities may be vulnerable to changes in fishing patterns due to regulations and/or climate change. When also experiencing environmental justice issues, they may have lower ability to successfully respond to change.
Indicators: Harbor porpoise and gray seal bycatch
Implications:
Currently meeting objectives
Risk element: TechInteract, evaluated by species and sector: 14 low, 6 low-mod, 3 mod-high risk, unchanged
The downward trend in harbor porpoise bycatch can also be due to a decrease in harbor porpoise abundance in US waters, reducing their overlap with fisheries, and a decrease in gillnet effort.
The increasing trend in gray seal bycatch may be related to an increase in the gray seal population (U.S. pup counts).
Indicators: North Atlantic right whale population, calf counts
Implications:
Signs the adult population stabilized 2020-2022
Population drivers for North Atlantic Right Whales (NARW) include combined fishery interactions/ship strikes, distribution shifts, and copepod availability.
Additional potential stressors include offshore wind development, which overlaps with important habitat areas used year-round by right whales, including mother and calf migration corridors and foraging habitat.
Unusual mortality events continue for 3 large whale species.
Indicators: development timeline (updated??), fishery and community specific revenue in lease areas
Council request: which New England ports have significant reliance on Mid-Atlantic managed species?
Indicators: fishery and community specific revenue in lease areas
Council request: which Mid-Atlantic ports have significant reliance on New England managed species?
Implications: revise
Current plans for rapid buildout of offshore wind in a patchwork of areas spreads the impacts differentially throughout the region Evaluating the impacts to scientific surveys has begun.
Bastille, K. et al. (2020). "Improving the IEA Approach Using Principles of Open Data Science". In: Coastal Management 0.0. Publisher: Taylor & Francis _ eprint: https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155, pp. 1-18. ISSN: 0892-0753. DOI: 10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155. URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155 (visited on Dec. 09, 2020).
DePiper, G. S. et al. (2017). "Operationalizing integrated ecosystem assessments within a multidisciplinary team: lessons learned from a worked example". En. In: ICES Journal of Marine Science 74.8, pp. 2076-2086. ISSN: 1054-3139. DOI: 10.1093/icesjms/fsx038. URL: https://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article/74/8/2076/3094701 (visited on Mar. 09, 2018).
Muffley, B. et al. (2020). "There Is no I in EAFM Adapting Integrated Ecosystem Assessment for Mid-Atlantic Fisheries Management". In: Coastal Management 0.0. Publisher: Taylor & Francis _ eprint: https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156, pp. 1-17. ISSN: 0892-0753. DOI: 10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156. URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156 (visited on Dec. 09, 2020).
Ecosystem indicators linked to management objectives (DePiper et al., 2017)
Open science emphasis (Bastille et al., 2020)
Used within Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management Council's Ecosystem Process (Muffley et al., 2020)
The IEA Loop1
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