(we spend a lot of time on this, understand that operational processes require a lot of time and resources and are not research)

• Stock assessments (ESPs-->assessment structure; ecosystem covariates-->OFL projections)

• ABC setting (data quality, model performance, and ecosystem information-->OFL CV-->ABC)

• EAFM risk assessment (ecosystem information-->prioritize scoping and MSE)

In development, research coordinated with SSC

• Ecosystem overfishing thresholds

Focus on the risk assessment and its operational use, process to bring new science in

The Council’s EAFM framework has similarities to the IEA loop on slide 2. It uses risk assessment as a first step to prioritize combinations of managed species, fleets, and ecosystem interactions for consideration. Second, a conceptual model is developed identifying key environmental, ecological, social, economic, and management linkages for a high-priority fishery. Third, quantitative modeling addressing Council-specified questions and based on interactions identified in the conceptual model is applied to evaluate alternative management strategies that best balance management objectives. As strategies are implemented, outcomes are monitored and the process is adjusted, and/or another priority identified in risk assessment can be addressed.

(DePiper, et al., 2017) (Bastille, et al., 2021) (Muffley, et al., 2021) (Gaichas, et al., 2018) (DePiper, et al., 2021) (Gaichas, et al., 2016)

In this interactive circular graph visualization, model elements identified as important by the Council (through risk assessment) and by the working group (through a range of experience and expertise) are at the perimeter of the circle. Elements are defined in detail in the last section of this page. Relationships between elements are represented as links across the center of the circle to other elements on the perimeter. Links from a model element that affect another element start wide at the base and are color coded to match the category of the element they affect.Hover over a perimeter section (an element) to see all relationships for that element, including links from other elements. Hover over a link to see what it connects. Links by default show text for the two elements and the direction of the relationship (1 for relationship, 0 for no relationship--most links are one direction).For example, hovering over the element "Total Landings" in the full model shows that the working group identified the elements affected by landings as Seafood Production, Recreational Value, and Commercial Profits (three links leading out from landings), and the elements affecting landings as Fluke SSB, Fluke Distributional Shift, Risk Buffering, Management Control, Total Discards, and Shoreside Support (6 links leading into Total Landings).

Council and Advisory Panel members recommended new elements addressing human dimensions (recreational access equity), new elements addressing cross-sectoral impacts (offshore wind impacts on biology and ecosystem as well as fishery access and scientific sampling), and transitions from static ecosystem indicators to time series indicators (prey availability, predation pressure, and fishing community vulnerability). New ecosystem science was required to support these requests. The process included development of new indicators of prey availability based on spatio-temporal modeling using ecological datasets (stomach contents, zooplankton), and new spatial analyses of habitat, revenue, and surveys relative to wind energy development areas. Development of potential risk criteria is ongoing; thresholds between low, moderate, and high risk that are essential to operational use are developed collaboratively with Council and Advisory Panel members.

The slide shows a higher risk example (black sea bass, low recent condition correlated with recently declining prey) and a lower risk example (bluefish, despite a long term decline in forage fish prey. recent condition has been good)

(Gaichas, et al., 2023)

EAFM: Conceptual Model
Greg Ardini NEFSC
Mark Terceiro NEFSC
Michael Wilberg UMD
Douglas Lipton NMFS
Kiley Dancy MAFMC
Jessica Coakley MAFMC
Kirby Rootes-Murdy ASMFC,

 *EAFM: Conceptual Model Cont'd*<br>
Jason McNamee    RI DEM<br>
Jeff Brust    NJ DEP<br>
Danielle Palmer    GARFO<br>
Emily Gilbert    GARFO<br>
Robert O’Reilly    EOP & VMRC<br>
G. Warren Elliott    EOP Chair<br>
Charles Perretti    NEFSC<br>
Geret DePiper    NEFSC<br>    
Sarah Gaichas    NEFSC<br>
Brandon Muffley    MAFMC<br>
<br>
EAFM: MSE Technical Group*<br>
Andrew Carr-Harris/NEFSC<br>
Dustin Colson-Leaning/ASMFC<br>
Jonathan Cummings/USFWS<br>
Kiley Dancy/MAFMC<br>
Geret DePiper/NEFSC<br>
Jon Deroba/NEFSC<br>
Gavin Fay/UMass Dartmouth<br>
Sarah Gaichas/NEFSC<br>
Kaili Gregory/Cornell<br>
Jorge Holzer/U. Maryland<br>
Emily Keiley/GARFO<br>
Jeff Kipp/ASMFC<br>
Doug Lipton/NOAA Fisheries<br>
Annabelle Stanley/Cornell<br>
Mark Terceiro/NEFSC<br>
Mike Wilberg/U. Maryland<br>
Greg Wojcik/CT DEEP,
EAFM: MSE Stakeholder Group*<br>
Leah Barton/Shore<br>
Rick Bellavance/Charter Boat<br>
Eleanor Bochenek/Academic<br>
Neil Delanoy/Party Boat<br>
John DePersenaire/National Recreational Org.<br>
Greg DiDomenico/Commercial<br>
Paul Haertel/Private Boat<br>
Rich Hittinger/Private Boat<br>
Mike Oppegaard/Charter Boat<br>
Michael Plaia/Charter Boat<br>
Harvey Yenkinson/Private Boat<br>
Mike Waine/Rec. Secondary Market<br>
<br>
EAFM: MSE Council Advisory Group*<br>
Adam Nowalsky<br>
Justin Davis<br>
Tony DeLernia<br>
Peter deFur<br> 
<br>
Recreational Fishery Decision Support Tool*<br>
Kim Bastille (NEFSC)<br>
Andrew Carr-Harris (NEFSC)<br>
Geret DePiper (NEFSC)<br>
Scott Steinback (NEFSC)]

]