An indicator tells us something about where we are relative to our goals or to limits, or about the context we are working within that may affect achieving our goals.
as a big umbrella that can include many types of information A quick definition of ecosystem indicators, why they’re useful, and broad categories (e.g. climate, oceanographic, habitat, primary productivity, ecosystem services, human dimensions, etc.)
An indicator tells us something about where we are relative to our goals or to limits, or about the context we are working within that may affect achieving our goals.
Stock status
Commercial Revenue and Recreational Effort
An indicator tells us something about where we are relative to our goals or to limits, or about the context we are working within that may affect achieving our goals.
ecosystem reports, assessments, and overviews
fishery overviews, cooperative research, working groups
Pathways for documenting and sharing ecosystem information ESRs and what they can do (e.g. synthesize, provide context, help formulate hypotheses and questions, support communication, potentially inform specific decisions) Other vehicles (e.g., some regions that don’t yet have regular ESRs have mentioned SAFE reports, fishery performance reports, and others). *Don’t worry about being comprehensive here – in the discussion that follows this talk we’ll be asking people how they receive ecosystem information.
Management decisions
Methods and tools
A basic orientation to ecosystem on-ramps – (however you would organize this) – e.g. assessments inputs, context for decision-making, risk assessment and identifying priorities, and less concrete pathways too – having a shared vocabulary, formulating questions or research priorities
Ecosystem indicators linked to management objectives
Open science emphasis
Used within Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management Council's Ecosystem Process
Performance relative to management objectives
Seafood production ,
Profits ,
Recreational opportunities: Effort
; Effort diversity
Stability: Fishery
; Ecological
Social and cultural, trend not evaluated, status of:
Protected species:
Risks to meeting fishery management objectives
Climate: warming and changing oceanography continue
Other ocean uses: offshore wind development
Climate: 6 low, 3 low-mod, 4 mod-high, 1 high risk
Multiple drivers with different impacts by species
DistShift: 2 low, 9 mod-high, 3 high risk species
Shifting species distributions alter both species interactions, fishery interactions, and expected management outcomes from spatial allocations and bycatch measures based on historical fish and protected species distributions.
Pacific cod example from ASFC: https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/alaska/2021-alaska-fisheries-science-center-year-review and https://apps-afsc.fisheries.noaa.gov/refm/docs/2021/GOApcod.pdf
Indicator: fish condition
Indicator: fish productivity anomaly
This element is applied at the ecosystem level. Revenue serves as a proxy for commercial profits.
Risk Level | Definition |
---|---|
Low | No trend and low variability in revenue |
Low-Moderate | Increasing or high variability in revenue |
Moderate-High | Significant long term revenue decrease |
High | Significant recent decrease in revenue |
Ranked moderate-high risk due to the significant long term revenue decrease for all species (black points)
This element is applied at the ecosystem level. Revenue serves as a proxy for commercial profits.
Risk Level | Definition |
---|---|
Low | No trend and low variability in revenue |
Low-Moderate | Increasing or high variability in revenue |
Moderate-High | Significant long term revenue decrease |
High | Significant recent decrease in revenue |
Ranked moderate-high risk due to the significant long term revenue decrease for all species (black points)
SOE Implications: Recent change driven by benthos. Monitor changes in climate and landings drivers:
Species level risk elements
Species | Assess | Fstatus | Bstatus | FW1Pred | FW1Prey | FW2Prey | Climate | DistShift | EstHabitat |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ocean Quahog | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | highest | modhigh | lowest |
Surfclam | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | modhigh | modhigh | lowest |
Summer flounder | lowest | lowest | lowmod | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowmod | modhigh | highest |
Scup | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowmod | modhigh | highest |
Black sea bass | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | modhigh | modhigh | highest |
Atl. mackerel | lowest | highest | highest | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowmod | modhigh | lowest |
Chub mackerel | highest | lowmod | lowmod | lowest | lowest | lowest | na | na | lowest |
Butterfish | lowest | lowest | lowmod | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | highest | lowest |
Longfin squid | lowmod | lowmod | lowmod | lowest | lowest | lowmod | lowest | modhigh | lowest |
Shortfin squid | highest | lowmod | lowmod | lowest | lowest | lowmod | lowest | highest | lowest |
Golden tilefish | lowest | lowest | lowmod | lowest | lowest | lowest | modhigh | lowest | lowest |
Blueline tilefish | highest | highest | modhigh | lowest | lowest | lowest | modhigh | lowest | lowest |
Bluefish | lowest | lowest | lowmod | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | modhigh | highest |
Spiny dogfish | lowest | highest | lowmod | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | highest | lowest |
Monkfish | highest | lowmod | lowmod | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | modhigh | lowest |
Unmanaged forage | na | na | na | lowest | lowmod | lowmod | na | na | na |
Deepsea corals | na | na | na | lowest | lowest | lowest | na | na | na |
Ecosystem level risk elements
System | EcoProd | CommRev | RecVal | FishRes1 | FishRes4 | FleetDiv | Social | ComFood | RecFood |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mid-Atlantic | lowmod | modhigh | lowest | lowest | modhigh | lowest | lowmod | highest | modhigh |
Species and Sector level risk elements
Species | MgtControl | TecInteract | OceanUse | RegComplex | Discards | Allocation |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ocean Quahog-C | lowest | lowest | lowmod | lowest | modhigh | lowest |
Surfclam-C | lowest | lowest | lowmod | lowest | modhigh | lowest |
Summer flounder-R | modhigh | lowest | lowmod | modhigh | highest | highest |
Summer flounder-C | lowmod | modhigh | lowmod | modhigh | modhigh | lowest |
Scup-R | lowmod | lowest | lowmod | modhigh | modhigh | highest |
Scup-C | lowest | lowmod | modhigh | modhigh | modhigh | lowest |
Black sea bass-R | highest | lowest | modhigh | modhigh | highest | highest |
Black sea bass-C | highest | lowmod | highest | modhigh | highest | lowest |
Atl. mackerel-R | lowmod | lowest | lowest | lowmod | lowest | lowest |
Atl. mackerel-C | lowest | lowmod | modhigh | highest | lowmod | highest |
Butterfish-C | lowest | lowmod | modhigh | modhigh | modhigh | lowest |
Longfin squid-C | lowest | modhigh | highest | modhigh | highest | lowest |
Shortfin squid-C | lowmod | lowmod | lowmod | modhigh | lowest | highest |
Golden tilefish-R | na | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest |
Golden tilefish-C | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest |
Blueline tilefish-R | lowmod | lowest | lowest | lowmod | lowest | lowest |
Blueline tilefish-C | lowmod | lowest | lowest | lowmod | lowest | lowest |
Bluefish-R | lowmod | lowest | lowest | lowmod | modhigh | highest |
Bluefish-C | lowest | lowest | lowmod | lowmod | lowmod | lowest |
Spiny dogfish-R | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest | lowest |
Spiny dogfish-C | lowest | modhigh | modhigh | modhigh | lowmod | lowest |
Chub mackerel-C | lowest | lowmod | lowmod | lowmod | lowest | lowest |
Unmanaged forage | lowest | lowest | modhigh | lowest | lowest | lowest |
Deepsea corals | na | na | modhigh | na | na | na |
Comments on overall risk assessment for EOP to consider?
In this interactive circular graph visualization, model elements identified as important by the Council (through risk assessment) and by the working group (through a range of experience and expertise) are at the perimeter of the circle. Elements are defined in detail in the last section of this page. Relationships between elements are represented as links across the center of the circle to other elements on the perimeter. Links from a model element that affect another element start wide at the base and are color coded to match the category of the element they affect.Hover over a perimeter section (an element) to see all relationships for that element, including links from other elements. Hover over a link to see what it connects. Links by default show text for the two elements and the direction of the relationship (1 for relationship, 0 for no relationship--most links are one direction).For example, hovering over the element "Total Landings" in the full model shows that the working group identified the elements affected by landings as Seafood Production, Recreational Value, and Commercial Profits (three links leading out from landings), and the elements affecting landings as Fluke SSB, Fluke Distributional Shift, Risk Buffering, Management Control, Total Discards, and Shoreside Support (6 links leading into Total Landings).
Process to develop fishery management procedures
First used in S. Africa, Australia, and at International Whaling Commission late 1980s - early 1990s
Under this approach, management advice is based on a fully specified set of rules that have been tested in simulations of a wide variety of scenarios that specifically take uncertainty into account. The full procedure includes specifications for the data to be collected and how those data are to be used to provide management advice, in a manner that incorporates a feedback mechanism.
Results for 2 of 16 performance metrics:
The IEA Loop1
Mid-Atlantic conceptual model developed by a technical team and Council representatives
Collaborative conceptual modeling with stakeholders:
Alaska sablefish
Pacific herring
Gulf of Mexico red tides
South Atlantic pelagic species management
Are any Atlantic herring harvest control rules good for both fisheries and predators?
Harvest control rules are:
"Which harvest control rules best consider herring's role as forage?"
First MSE within US Council
Scope: annual stockwide HCR
Open stakeholder meetings (2)
Uncertainties identified
The Dream:1 Convert the effects of control rules on 4 user groups to dollars:
1 Credit: Min-Yang Lee
Broad online scoping results helped develop Core stakeholder group
EBFM is flexible and iterative
EBFM is collaborative and participatory
Brandon Muffley, MAFMC staff
Collaborations needed:
Word cloud based on Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management Council EAFM Guidance Document
National Ecosystem Based Fishery Management Websites
Northeast US Ecosystem Reporting and Indicators
Council Scientific and Statistical Committees
Council Ecosystem Approaches
Council Management Strategy Evaluations
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