class: right, middle, my-title, title-slide .title[ # What is Ecosystem Based
Fishery Management? ] .subtitle[ ## Marine Resource Education Program
Science Workshop, February 2024 ] .author[ ### Sarah Gaichas
NOAA Northeast Fisheries Science Center ] --- class: top, left .center[ # What do *you* think EBFM means? ] --- # US Policy defines EBFM as: ## A systematic approach to fisheries management in a geographically specified area that contributes to the resilience and sustainability of the ecosystem; recognizes the physical, biological, economic, and social interactions among the affected fishery-related components of the ecosystem, including humans; and seeks to optimize benefits among a diverse set of societal goals. .center[ ![:img relating environment marine habitat and the marine community to human activities social systems and objectives, 50%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/nes-components-abstracted.png) ] .footnote[ https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/resource/document/ecosystem-based-fisheries-management-policy ] --- ## EBFM Guiding Principles .center[ ![:img Five supporting EBFM steps to maintain resilient ecosystems, 80%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/EBFMprinciples.png) ] --- ## What is ecosystem information? An *indicator* tells us something about where we are relative to our goals or to limits, or about the context we are working within that may affect achieving our goals. <img src="https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/indicators.png" title="bank account balance, speedometer, weather warning" alt="bank account balance, speedometer, weather warning" /> ??? as a big umbrella that can include many types of information A quick definition of ecosystem indicators, why they’re useful, and broad categories (e.g. climate, oceanographic, habitat, primary productivity, ecosystem services, human dimensions, etc.) --- ## What is ecosystem information? Performance relative to objectives An *indicator* tells us something about where we are relative to our goals or to limits, or about the context we are working within that may affect achieving our goals. .pull-left[ Stock status <img src="20240214_MREP_EBFM_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-2-1.png" width="504" /> ] .pull-right[ Commercial Revenue and Recreational Effort <img src="20240214_MREP_EBFM_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-3-1.png" width="504" /> <img src="20240214_MREP_EBFM_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-4-1.png" width="504" /> ] --- ## What is ecosystem information? Context, risks to meeting objectives An *indicator* tells us something about where we are relative to our goals or to limits, or about the context we are working within that may affect achieving our goals. ![:img bottom temperature, 35%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/ecodata/raw/dev/workshop/images/bottom_temp_threshold_17_19_Elephant_Trunk.png)![:img black sea bass survey distribution change over time from 2018 SOE,30%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/black_sea_bass_kde.png)![:img offshore wind, 35%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/ecodata/raw/dev/workshop/images/Cumulative_Timeline_FullRegion_SoE2024_v2_2024.png) --- ## Documenting and sharing ecosystem information .pull-left[ ecosystem reports, assessments, and overviews .center[ ![:img SOE cover MAFMC, 75%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/SOE-MA-draft-03.16.23_Page_1.png) ] ] .pull-right[ fishery overviews, cooperative research, working groups <!--![:img FPR](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/MAFMC-FPR.png)--> ![:img Study Fleet](https://www.frontiersin.org/files/Articles/869560/fmars-09-869560-HTML/image_m/fmars-09-869560-g001.jpg) ] ??? Pathways for documenting and sharing ecosystem information ESRs and what they can do (e.g. synthesize, provide context, help formulate hypotheses and questions, support communication, potentially inform specific decisions) Other vehicles (e.g., some regions that don’t yet have regular ESRs have mentioned SAFE reports, fishery performance reports, and others). *Don’t worry about being comprehensive here – in the discussion that follows this talk we’ll be asking people how they receive ecosystem information. <a name=cite-jones_learning_2022></a>([Jones, et al., 2022](https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2022.869560)) --- ## Entry points for ecosystem information: where to start? .pull-left[ *Management decisions* 1. What are our issues and goals? Key question. Start here 1. Current decisions + Stock assessments + Advice on catch levels + Harvest control rules 1. New (current) decisions + Habitat change or restoration + Changing species distribution and interactions + Tradeoffs between fisheries + Tradeoffs between ocean use sectors ] .pull-right[ *Methods and tools* 1. Stakeholder engagement, surveys, strategic planning 1. Add information to current process + Ecosystem ToRs and overviews + Risk or uncertainty assessments + Management strategy evaluation 1. Integrate across current processes + Risk assessment + Conceptual models + Scenario planning + Management strategy evaluation ] ??? A basic orientation to ecosystem on-ramps – (however you would organize this) – e.g. assessments inputs, context for decision-making, risk assessment and identifying priorities, and less concrete pathways too – having a shared vocabulary, formulating questions or research priorities --- ## Many options and entry points for a systematic ecosystem approach .center[ ![:img Fishing icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/5_FISHING.png) ![:img Fishing industry icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/6_INDUSTRY.png) ![:img Multiple drivers icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/18.MULTIPLE_SYSTEM_DRIVERS.png) ![:img Spiritual cultural icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/22.SPIRITUAL_CULTURAL.png) ![:img Protected species icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/16.PROTECTEDSPECIES.png) ] .center[ ![:img Climate icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/3_CLIMATE.png) ![:img Stock assessment icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/7.STOCKASSESSMENT-2.png) ![:img Ecosystem reorganization icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/3.ECOSYSTEM_REORGANIZATION.png) ![:img Wind icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/24.WIND.png) ] .center[ ![:img Hydrography icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/1_HYDROGRAPHY.png) ![:img Phytoplankon icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/9_PHYTOPLANKTON.png) ![:img Forage fish icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/13_FORAGEFISH.png) ![:img Apex predators icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/17.APEXPREDATORS.png) ![:img Other human uses icon made by EDAB, 15%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/8_OTHERHUMANUSES.png) ] --- # State of the Ecosystem (SOE) reporting ## Improving ecosystem information and synthesis for fishery managers .pull-left-70[ - Ecosystem indicators linked to management objectives + Contextual information + Report evolving since 2016 + Fishery-relevant subset of full Ecosystem Status Reports - Open science emphasis - Used within Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management Council's Ecosystem Process + Risk assessment + Conceptual modeling + Management strategy evaluation ([MSE](https://www.mafmc.org/actions/summer-flounder-mse)) ] .pull-right-30[ ![:img 2023 SOE Mid Atlantic Cover Page, 100%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/SOE-MA-draft-03.16.23_Page_1.png) ] ??? <a name=cite-depiper_operationalizing_2017></a>([DePiper, et al., 2017](https://academic.oup.com/icesjms/article/74/8/2076/3094701)) <a name=cite-bastille_improving_2021></a>([Bastille, et al., 2021](https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155)) <a name=cite-muffley_there_2021></a>([Muffley, et al., 2021](https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156)) <a name=cite-gaichas_implementing_2018></a>([Gaichas, et al., 2018](https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2018.00442/abstract)) <a name=cite-depiper_learning_2021></a>([DePiper, et al., 2021](https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsab054)) --- background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/SOE-MA-draft-03.16.23_Page_2.png") background-size: 500px background-position: right ## State of the Ecosystem Summary 2023: **Performance relative to management objectives** .pull-left-60[ Seafood production ![:img decreasing arrow icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//decrease.png), ![:img below average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//below long term ave.png) Profits ![:img decreasing arrow icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//decrease.png), ![:img below average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//below long term ave.png) Recreational opportunities: Effort ![:img increasing arrow icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//no trend.png) ![:img above average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//near-long-term-average.png); Effort diversity ![:img decreasing arrow icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//decrease.png) ![:img below average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//below long term ave.png) Stability: Fishery ![:img no trend icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//no trend.png) ![:img near average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//near-long-term-average.png); Ecological ![:img mixed trend icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//Mixed trends.png) ![:img near average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//near-long-term-average.png) Social and cultural, trend not evaluated, status of: * Fishing engagement and reliance by community * Environmental Justice (EJ) Vulnerability by community Protected species: * Maintain bycatch below thresholds ![:img mixed trend icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//Mixed trends.png) ![:img meeting objectives icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//checked.png) * Recover endangered populations (NARW) ![:img decreasing arrow icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//decrease.png) ![:img below average icon icon, 4%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images//below long term ave.png) ] .pull-right-40[] --- background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/SOE-MA-draft-03.16.23_Page_3.png") background-size: 500px background-position: right ## State of the Ecosystem Summary 2023: **Risks to meeting fishery management objectives** .pull-left-60[ Climate: warming and changing oceanography continue * Heat waves and Gulf Stream instability * Estuarine, coastal, and offshore habitats affected, with range of species responses * Distribution shifts complicate management * Multiple fish with poor condition, declining productivity Other ocean uses: offshore wind development * Current revenue in proposed areas - 1-34% by port (some with EJ concerns) - up to 17% by managed species * Different development impacts for species preferring soft bottom vs. hard bottom * Overlap with important right whale foraging habitats, increased vessel strike and noise risks * Rapid buildout in patchwork of areas * Scientific survey mitigation required ] .pull-right-40[] --- ## Implications: Climate change and managed species .pull-left[ Climate: 6 <span style="background-color:lightgreen;">low</span>, 3 <span style="background-color:yellow;">low-mod</span>, 4 <span style="background-color:orange;">mod-high</span>, 1 <span style="background-color:red;">high</span> risk *Multiple drivers with different impacts by species* * Seasonal estuarine conditions affect life stages of striped bass, blue crabs, summer flounder, black sea bass differently .contrib[ + Chesapeake summer hypoxia, temperature better than in past years, but worse in fall + Habitat improving in some areas (tidal fresh SAV, oyster reefs), but eelgrass declining ] * Ocean acidification impact on vulnerable surfclams .contrib[ + Areas of low pH identified in surfclam and scallop habitat + Lab work identified pH thresholds for surfclam growth ] * Warm core rings important to *Illex* availability. Fishing effort concentrates on the eastern edge of warm core rings, where upwelling and enhanced productivity ocurr ] .pull-right[ DistShift: 2 <span style="background-color:lightgreen;">low</span>, 9 <span style="background-color:orange;">mod-high</span>, 3 <span style="background-color:red;">high</span> risk species Shifting species distributions alter both species interactions, fishery interactions, and expected management outcomes from spatial allocations and bycatch measures based on historical fish and protected species distributions. .center[ ![:img black sea bass survey distribution change over time from 2018 SOE, 65%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/black_sea_bass_kde.png) ] ] --- ## Using ecosystem information at the stock level: Ecosystem Socioeconomic Profiles (ESPs) .pull-left[ ![GOA pcod ESP conceptual model](https://media.fisheries.noaa.gov/styles/media_750_x500/s3/2022-03/Working_Conceptual_Model_EBS%20Pcod.png) ] .pull-right[ ![](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/GOApcodESPrisk.png) ] .footnote[ Pacific cod example from ASFC: https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/alaska/2021-alaska-fisheries-science-center-year-review and https://apps-afsc.fisheries.noaa.gov/refm/docs/2021/GOApcod.pdf ] --- ## Looking across stocks for ecosystem signals .pull-left[ Indicator: fish condition <img src="20240214_MREP_EBFM_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-5-1.png" width="576" /> * Stock level [condition drivers](https://www.mafmc.org/s/c_Butterfish_Condition_Additional-TOR-1_2021.pdf) --> decision on butterfish recruitment stanza for projections ] .pull-right[ Indicator: fish productivity anomaly <img src="20240214_MREP_EBFM_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-6-1.png" width="504" /> * Related to multiple drivers * Multispecies projection and reference point implications ] ??? <a name=cite-perretti_regime_2017></a>([Perretti, et al., 2017](http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/meps/v574/p1-11/)) --- ## State of the Ecosystem → MAFMC Risk assessent example: Commercial revenue This element is applied at the ecosystem level. Revenue serves as a proxy for commercial profits. .table[ .pull-left[ <table> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Risk Level </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Definition </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;width: 20em; "> Low </td> <td style="text-align:left;width: 20em; "> No trend and low variability in revenue </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;width: 20em; "> Low-Moderate </td> <td style="text-align:left;width: 20em; "> Increasing or high variability in revenue </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;width: 20em; font-weight: bold;background-color: orange !important;"> Moderate-High </td> <td style="text-align:left;width: 20em; font-weight: bold;background-color: orange !important;"> Significant long term revenue decrease </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;width: 20em; "> High </td> <td style="text-align:left;width: 20em; "> Significant recent decrease in revenue </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> Ranked moderate-high risk due to the significant long term revenue decrease for all species (black points) ] ] .pull-right[ <img src="20240214_MREP_EBFM_Gaichas_files/figure-html/unnamed-chunk-7-1.png" width="504" /> ] -- ## Risk element: <span style="background-color:orange;">CommRev</span>, unchanged **SOE Implications:** Recent change driven by benthos. Monitor changes in climate and landings drivers: - Climate risk element: <span style="background-color:orange;">Surfclams</span> and <span style="background-color:red;">ocean quahogs</span> are sensitive to ocean warming and acidification. - pH in surfclam summer habitat is approaching, but not yet at, pH affecting surfclam growth --- ## EAFM Risk Assessment: 2023, Major Update In Progress .pull-left[ *Species level risk elements* <table class="risktable table" style="font-size: 9px; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Species </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Assess </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Fstatus </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Bstatus </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> FW1Pred </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> FW1Prey </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> FW2Prey </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Climate </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> DistShift </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> EstHabitat </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Ocean Quahog </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Surfclam </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Summer flounder </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Scup </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Black sea bass </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Atl. mackerel </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Chub mackerel </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Butterfish </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Longfin squid </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Shortfin squid </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Golden tilefish </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Blueline tilefish </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Bluefish </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Spiny dogfish </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Monkfish </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Unmanaged forage </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Deepsea corals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> .contrib[ * RT assessment decreased Spiny dogfish **Assess**, risk to low and increased **Fstatus** risk to high * RT assessment decreased bluefish **Bstatus** risk from high to low-moderate * RT assessment increased Illex **Assess** risk from low-moderate to high ] *Ecosystem level risk elements* <table class="risktable table" style="font-size: 9px; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> System </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> EcoProd </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> CommRev </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> RecVal </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> FishRes1 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> FishRes4 </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> FleetDiv </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Social </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> ComFood </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> RecFood </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Mid-Atlantic </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> .contrib[ * Recreational value risk decreased from low-moderate to low ] ] .pull-right[ *Species and Sector level risk elements* <table class="risktable table" style="font-size: 11px; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"> <thead> <tr> <th style="text-align:left;"> Species </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> MgtControl </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> TecInteract </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> OceanUse </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> RegComplex </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Discards </th> <th style="text-align:left;"> Allocation </th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Ocean Quahog-C </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Surfclam-C </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Summer flounder-R </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Summer flounder-C </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Scup-R </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Scup-C </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Black sea bass-R </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Black sea bass-C </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Atl. mackerel-R </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Atl. mackerel-C </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Butterfish-C </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Longfin squid-C </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Shortfin squid-C </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Golden tilefish-R </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Golden tilefish-C </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Blueline tilefish-R </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Blueline tilefish-C </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Bluefish-R </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: white !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: red !important;text-align: c;">highest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Bluefish-C </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Spiny dogfish-R </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Spiny dogfish-C </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Chub mackerel-C </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: yellow !important;text-align: c;">lowmod</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Unmanaged forage </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: lightgreen !important;text-align: c;">lowest</span> </td> </tr> <tr> <td style="text-align:left;"> Deepsea corals </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: orange !important;text-align: c;">modhigh</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> <td style="text-align:left;"> <span style=" color: black !important;padding-right: 4px; padding-left: 4px; background-color: white !important;text-align: c;">na</span> </td> </tr> </tbody> </table> .contrib[ * Management section not updated--to be revised this year ] ] ??? Comments on overall risk assessment for EOP to consider? --- .pull-left[ ## How is MAFMC using the risk assessment? * Prioritization: the Council selected summer flounder as high-risk fishery for conceptual modeling ![:img Mid-Atlantic EAFM framework, 95%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/Framework.png) * Council proceeding with management strategy evaluation (MSE) addressing [recreational fishery discards](https://www.mafmc.org/actions/summer-flounder-mse) using information from conceptual modeling. ] .pull-right[
] ??? In this interactive circular graph visualization, model elements identified as important by the Council (through risk assessment) and by the working group (through a range of experience and expertise) are at the perimeter of the circle. Elements are defined in detail in the last section of [this page](https://gdepiper.github.io/Summer_Flounder_Conceptual_Models/sfconsmod_riskfactors_subplots.html). Relationships between elements are represented as links across the center of the circle to other elements on the perimeter. Links from a model element that affect another element start wide at the base and are color coded to match the category of the element they affect.Hover over a perimeter section (an element) to see all relationships for that element, including links from other elements. Hover over a link to see what it connects. Links by default show text for the two elements and the direction of the relationship (1 for relationship, 0 for no relationship--most links are one direction).For example, hovering over the element "Total Landings" in the full model shows that the working group identified the elements affected by landings as Seafood Production, Recreational Value, and Commercial Profits (three links leading out from landings), and the elements affecting landings as Fluke SSB, Fluke Distributional Shift, Risk Buffering, Management Control, Total Discards, and Shoreside Support (6 links leading into Total Landings). --- background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/MSECSIRO.png") background-size: 800px background-position: right ## What is Management Strategy Evaluation? .pull-left-30[ - Process to develop fishery management procedures - First used in S. Africa, Australia, and at International Whaling Commission late 1980s - early 1990s .contrib[ >Under this approach, management advice is based on a fully specified set of rules that have been tested in simulations of a wide variety of scenarios that specifically take uncertainty into account. The full procedure includes specifications for the data to be collected and how those data are to be used to provide management advice, in a manner that incorporates a feedback mechanism. ] ] --- ## MSE results: can improve on current management, but distribution shifts lower expectations Results for 2 of 16 performance metrics: .center[ ![:img Summer flounder MSE results by OM, 95%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/keepOneNoOFkey.png) ] .footnote[ [August MAFMC briefing materials](https://www.mafmc.org/s/Tab02_Summer-Flounder-MSE_2022-08.pdf) and [full results on the web](https://gavinfay.github.io/fluke-mafmc-recdisc/summary-metrics.html) ] ??? * Linked recreational demand and population dynamics model * Alternative operating model included northward distribution shift as change in availability by state * Rank order of management options maintained, but degraded performance when considering ecosystem change --- .center[ # Participating in EBFM ] .pull-left-60[ ## Scientific concepts → management * Collaborative conceptual modeling * Management strategy evaluation ] .pull-right-40[ *The IEA Loop<sup>1</sup>* ![IEA process from goal setting to assessment to strategy evaluation with feedbacks](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/iea-loop.png) .footnote[ [1] https://www.integratedecosystemassessment.noaa.gov/national/IEA-approach ] ] --- background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/Rosellon-Druker2021Fig2.png") background-size: 300px background-position: right ## EBFM engagement: Conceptual modeling, from science- to stakeholder-driven .pull-left-70[ Mid-Atlantic conceptual model developed by a technical team and Council representatives Collaborative conceptual modeling with stakeholders: * Alaska sablefish * Pacific herring * Gulf of Mexico red tides * South Atlantic pelagic species management * [Caribbean EBFM development](https://issuu.com/caribbeanfmc/docs/conceptual_models_presentation_dap_meeting_august_) ] .pull-right-30[] ??? ([DePiper, et al., 2021](https://doi.org/10.1093/icesjms/fsab054)) <a name=cite-rosellon-druker_participatory_2021></a>([Rosellon-Druker, et al., 2021](https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0967064520301673)) <a name=cite-levin_thirty-two_2016></a>([Levin, et al., 2016](https://doi.org/10.1002/ehs2.1213)) <a name=cite-spooner_using_2021></a>([Spooner, et al., 2021](https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846152)) --- ## South Atlantic example: citizen science for data-poor migratory species .pull-left[ ![South Atlantic physical system](https://media.fisheries.noaa.gov/2021-12/1687x1451-SEFSC-US-South-Atlantic-Marine-Ecosystem.jpg) https://safmc.net/citizen-science/dolphin-wahoo-participatory-workshops/ ] .pull-right[ .center[ ![:img South Atlantic dolfin wahoo NC-VA conceptual model, 50%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/NCVAdolfinwahooCM.png) ![:img South Atlantic dolfin wahoo S Fl conceptual model, 50%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/SFldolfinwahooCM.png) ] .footnote[ https://safmc-shinyapps.shinyapps.io/NCVA_DolphinWorkshops2020/ https://safmc-shinyapps.shinyapps.io/S_FL_DolphinWorkshops2021/ ] ] --- background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/allcomponents.png") background-size: 790px background-position: right bottom ## Stakeholder engagement and Management Strategy Evaluation *Are any Atlantic herring harvest control rules good for both fisheries and predators?* .pull-left-30[ **Harvest control rules** are: - plans for changing fishing based on stock status - pre-determined *"Which harvest control rules best consider herring's role as forage?"* - DESIGN a harvest control rule (HCR): - balancing fishing benefits and ecological services - addressing diverse stakeholder interests - TRANSPARENTLY within management time frame! ] --- background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/MgtProcess.png") background-size: 800px background-position: right ## The Herring MSE process .pull-left-30[ *First MSE within US Council* Scope: annual stockwide HCR Open stakeholder meetings (2) - ID objectives, uncertainties - ID acceptable performance - more diverse, interactive than "normal" process Uncertainties identified - herring mortality (M) - environmental effects on herring - predator response to herring abundance - assessment uncertainty ] ??? --- background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/OMdesign.png") background-size: 750px background-position: right ## Linked models matching stakeholder-identified objectives .pull-left-30[ The Dream:<sup>1</sup> Convert the effects of control rules on 4 user groups to dollars: .contrib[ 1. Users of landed herring (Demand) - Lobster industry, aquariums 1. Herring harvesters (Supply) 1. Direct users of herring in the ocean (not people) - Terns and Whales - Striped Bass, Dogfish 1. Indirect users of herring in the ocean (people, Derived Demand) - Bird- and whale-watchers - Recreational and Commercial Fishing ] The Reality .contrib[ - 8 herring operating models linked to simple predator and economic models, developed in parallel - limited range of predator response - limited economic effects, directed fishery only ] ] .footnote[ <sup>1</sup> Credit: [Min-Yang Lee](https://s3.amazonaws.com/nefmc.org/13.Economic-Models_Lee.pdf) ] ??? <a name=cite-deroba_dream_2018></a>([Deroba, et al., 2018](http://www.nrcresearchpress.com/doi/10.1139/cjfas-2018-0128)) --- ## Stakeholder process for Summer flounder recreational discards MSE [Broad online scoping results](https://www.mafmc.org/s/Background_c_Scoping-Feedback_Regional-Summary.pdf) helped develop [Core stakeholder group](https://www.mafmc.org/s/Summer-Flounder-MSE-Core-Stakeholder-Group-Selection_Final.pdf) ![:img MAFMC webcall, 50%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/MAFMCflukestakeholdersurvey.png)![:img MAFMC stakeholder comp, 50%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/stakeholdertypeMAFMCfluke.png) .center[![:img MAFMC concerns, 50%](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/stakeholderconcernsMAFMCfluke.png)] --- ## Implementing the Ecosystem Approach: lessons learned .pull-left-60[ EBFM is flexible and iterative * Tools: ecosystem reporting, risk and vulnerability assessment * Many entry points for ecosystem information EBFM is collaborative and participatory *Brandon Muffley, MAFMC staff* Collaborations needed: * Within the science community – diverse expertise is needed * Between science and management – understanding what information is needed and important to management, providing tools to management to understand ecosystem linkages and implications ] .pull-right-40[ ![:img EAFM Policy Guidance Doc Word Cloud](https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/MAFMC_EAFMwordcloud.png) .contrib[ Word cloud based on [Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management Council EAFM Guidance Document](https://www.mafmc.org/s/EAFM-Doc-Revised-2019-02-08-palr.pdf) ] ] * Between science and stakeholders – need to build trust, open dialogue (everyone is heard), and sharing data and observations (on water and with information) * Between management and stakeholders – listening to/acting on stakeholder priorities and feedback, process not out to add more uncertainty but provide for more informed decisions --- ## Additional resources .pull-left[ National Ecosystem Based Fishery Management Websites * [US EBFM Policy](https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/resource/document/ecosystem-based-fisheries-management-policy) * [US EBFM Roadmap](https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/resource/document/ecosystem-based-fisheries-management-road-map) * [US Integrated Ecosystem Assessments](https://www.integratedecosystemassessment.noaa.gov/) Northeast US Ecosystem Reporting and Indicators * [Northeast US Ecosystem Reports](https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/new-england-mid-atlantic/ecosystems/state-ecosystem-reports-northeast-us-shelf) * [Ecosystem Report Technical Documentation](https://noaa-edab.github.io/tech-doc) * [ecodata R package](https://github.com/noaa-edab/ecodata) * [Ecosystem Indicator Catalog (in development)](https://noaa-edab.github.io/catalog/index.html) ] .pull-right[ Council Scientific and Statistical Committees * [MAFMC SSC](https://www.mafmc.org/ssc) * [NEFMC SSC](https://www.nefmc.org/committees/scientific-and-statistical-committee) Council Ecosystem Approaches * [MAFMC EAFM](https://www.mafmc.org/eafm) * [NEFMC EBFM](https://www.nefmc.org/committees/ecosystem-based-fisheries-management) Council Management Strategy Evaluations * [MAFMC EAFM Summer Flounder MSE](https://www.mafmc.org/actions/summer-flounder-mse) * [NEFMC Atlantic Herring MSE](https://d23h0vhsm26o6d.cloudfront.net/3_Herring-MSE-debrief-final-report.pdf) ] .contrib[ * Slides available at https://noaa-edab.github.io/presentations * Contact: <Sarah.Gaichas@noaa.gov> ] --- ## References .contrib[ <a name=bib-bastille_improving_2021></a>[Bastille, K. et al.](#cite-bastille_improving_2021) (2021). "Improving the IEA Approach Using Principles of Open Data Science". In: _Coastal Management_ 49.1. Publisher: Taylor & Francis \_ eprint: https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155, pp. 72-89. ISSN: 0892-0753. DOI: [10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155](https://doi.org/10.1080%2F08920753.2021.1846155). URL: [https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155](https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846155) (visited on Apr. 16, 2021). <a name=bib-depiper_operationalizing_2017></a>[DePiper, G. S. et al.](#cite-depiper_operationalizing_2017) (2017). "Operationalizing integrated ecosystem assessments within a multidisciplinary team: lessons learned from a worked example". En. In: _ICES Journal of Marine Science_ 74.8, pp. 2076-2086. ISSN: 1054-3139. DOI: [10.1093/icesjms/fsx038](https://doi.org/10.1093%2Ficesjms%2Ffsx038). 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Publisher: Taylor & Francis \_ eprint: https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156, pp. 90-106. ISSN: 0892-0753. DOI: [10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156](https://doi.org/10.1080%2F08920753.2021.1846156). URL: [https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156](https://doi.org/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846156) (visited on Apr. 16, 2021). <a name=bib-perretti_regime_2017></a>[Perretti, C. et al.](#cite-perretti_regime_2017) (2017). "Regime shifts in fish recruitment on the Northeast US Continental Shelf". En. In: _Marine Ecology Progress Series_ 574, pp. 1-11. ISSN: 0171-8630, 1616-1599. DOI: [10.3354/meps12183](https://doi.org/10.3354%2Fmeps12183). URL: [http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/meps/v574/p1-11/](http://www.int-res.com/abstracts/meps/v574/p1-11/) (visited on Feb. 10, 2022). <a name=bib-rosellon-druker_participatory_2021></a>[Rosellon-Druker, J. et al.](#cite-rosellon-druker_participatory_2021) (2021). 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URL: [https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846152](https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/08920753.2021.1846152) (visited on Nov. 21, 2022). ] --- background-image: url("https://github.com/NOAA-EDAB/presentations/raw/master/docs/EDAB_images/IMG_2733.jpg") background-size: cover ## Questions? # Thank you